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2001年至2021年美国人口普查分区肝细胞癌发病率趋势的差异

Differences in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidence Trends Across US Census Divisions, 2001 to 2021.

作者信息

Sokale Itunu O, Rosales Omar, Thrift Aaron P, El-Serag Hashem B, Burgess Elyse, Oluyomi Abiodun O

机构信息

Section of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA.

Dan L. Duncan Comprehensive Cancer Center, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA.

出版信息

Cancers (Basel). 2025 Apr 24;17(9):1431. doi: 10.3390/cancers17091431.

Abstract

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer diagnoses and deaths in the United States. This study serves as an update on secular trends in national HCC incidence rates while exploring potential geographic and racial/ethnic differences across all nine US census divisions. : We analyzed HCC incidence data reported to the United States Cancer Statistics (USCS) database from 2001 to 2021 (excluding 2020 data, based on the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's cautionary recommendations for COVID-19 pandemic data usage for trend analysis). We performed trend analyses of age-adjusted incidence rates in the US overall, by census divisions, and then stratified by race/ethnicity, using the National Cancer Institute's Joinpoint Regression Program. : Between 2001 and 2021, HCC incidence rates increased nationally, with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 2.51 (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.32-2.72); however, the rate decreased (annual percentage change (APC) -3.33 (95% CI: -4.78--1.96) in recent years from 2018 to 2021. Division 1 had the greatest decrease (APC -6.46 (95% CI: -9.62--3.96) from 2017 to 2021, while rates leveled in Division 6 (East South Central) and Division 7 (West South Central). HCC trends decreased substantially for non-Hispanic Black and Non-Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander groups in almost all divisions in recent years, but trends were stable, decreased, or increased for other racial/ethnic populations. : Despite declining national HCC incidence rates, these trends were not uniform across racial/ethnic groups or US census divisions. Race-specific interventions are needed to reduce disparities in HCC incidence in all US census divisions.

摘要

肝细胞癌(HCC)是美国癌症诊断和死亡的主要原因之一。本研究更新了美国全国HCC发病率的长期趋势,同时探讨了美国九个普查分区之间潜在的地理和种族/族裔差异。我们分析了2001年至2021年报告给美国癌症统计(USCS)数据库的HCC发病率数据(根据疾病控制和预防中心关于COVID-19大流行数据用于趋势分析的警示性建议,不包括2020年数据)。我们使用美国国立癌症研究所的Joinpoint回归程序,对美国总体、按普查分区以及按种族/族裔分层的年龄调整发病率进行了趋势分析。在2001年至2021年期间,全国HCC发病率上升,平均年百分比变化(AAPC)为2.51(95%置信区间(CI):2.32 - 2.72);然而,在2018年至2021年的最近几年中发病率下降(年百分比变化(APC)为 -3.33(95% CI:-4.78 - -1.96))。第1分区下降幅度最大(2017年至2021年APC为 -6.46(95% CI:-9.62 - -3.96)),而第6分区(东中南部)和第7分区(西中南部)的发病率趋于平稳。近年来,几乎所有分区的非西班牙裔黑人和非西班牙裔亚裔及太平洋岛民群体的HCC趋势大幅下降,但其他种族/族裔人群的趋势则稳定、下降或上升。尽管全国HCC发病率呈下降趋势,但这些趋势在种族/族裔群体或美国普查分区之间并不统一。需要采取针对特定种族的干预措施,以减少美国所有普查分区HCC发病率的差异。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8754/12070962/d60200cb8cc5/cancers-17-01431-g001.jpg

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