Huang Tao, Li Yue, Li Jinhui, Sung Joseph J Y, Yim Steve H L
Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine Nanyang Technological University Singapore Singapore.
Centre for Climate Change and Environmental Health Nanyang Technological University Singapore Singapore.
Geohealth. 2025 May 13;9(5):e2024GH001290. doi: 10.1029/2024GH001290. eCollection 2025 May.
Exposure to air pollution and excessive heat during hot-and-polluted episodes (HPEs) may synergistically cause higher health risks globally. Nevertheless, long-term global spatiotemporal characteristics of HPEs and their health impacts remain unclear. Herein, we conducted statistical analyses using reanalysis data of fine particulate matter (PM) and climate together with our derived concentration-response function for HPEs to assess global HPE variations from 1990 to 2019, and to estimate the PM-associated premature mortality during HPEs. Our results reveal that HPE frequency increased significantly globally. HPE PM intensity in the Global North continuously increased, overpassing the Global South after 2010, indicating a recurred risk of air pollution under climate change in the Global North after several years of emission control endeavors. Globally, we estimated approximately 694,440 (95% CI: 687,996-715,311) total mortalities associated with acute PM exposure during HPEs from 1990 to 2019, with the Global South accounting for around 80% of these deaths. Among the most vulnerable 15 countries, India had by far the highest mortality burden, and the United States, Russia, Japan, and Germany were particularly highlighted as having higher burdens within the Global North. Our findings highlight the importance of considering environmental inequality between the Global North and the Global South, and co-benefits of air pollution-climate change mitigation during policymaking processes.
在炎热且污染严重的时期(HPEs)暴露于空气污染和酷热环境下,可能会在全球范围内协同导致更高的健康风险。然而,HPEs的长期全球时空特征及其对健康的影响仍不明确。在此,我们利用细颗粒物(PM)和气候的再分析数据以及我们推导的HPEs浓度响应函数进行统计分析,以评估1990年至2019年全球HPEs的变化,并估算HPEs期间与PM相关的过早死亡率。我们的结果表明,全球范围内HPEs的频率显著增加。全球北方地区的HPEs中PM强度持续上升,在2010年后超过了全球南方地区,这表明在经过数年的排放控制努力后,全球北方地区在气候变化下再次面临空气污染风险。在全球范围内,我们估计1990年至2019年期间,HPEs期间与急性PM暴露相关的总死亡人数约为694,440人(95%置信区间:687,996 - 715,311),其中全球南方地区约占这些死亡人数的80%。在最脆弱的15个国家中,印度的死亡负担迄今为止最高,而美国、俄罗斯、日本和德国在全球北方地区中尤其凸显出负担较重。我们的研究结果凸显了在决策过程中考虑全球北方和南方之间环境不平等以及减轻空气污染 - 气候变化共同效益的重要性。