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肾癌趋势:丹麦一项DaRenCa研究探索过去三十年中性别和年龄对疾病分期及预后的影响

Trends in kidney cancer: exploring the impact of sex and age on stage of disease, and prognosis during the past three decades in Denmark-a DaRenCa study.

作者信息

Ahrenfeldt Johanne, Jespersen Jesper, Lyngstrand Jens Ejrnæs, Iisager Laura, Keller Anna Krarup, Fristrup Niels, Laurberg Tinne, Lyskjær Iben

机构信息

Department of Molecular Medicine, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.

Steno Diabetes Centre Aarhus, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.

出版信息

Eur J Epidemiol. 2025 May 14. doi: 10.1007/s10654-025-01236-7.

DOI:10.1007/s10654-025-01236-7
PMID:40366611
Abstract

Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) management has advanced due to increased imaging-based diagnoses and improved therapies for metastatic disease. This nationwide registry-based cohort study examines changes in the number of primary RCC cases, stage at diagnosis, prognosis during the past 30 years in Denmark, and how these are associated with sex and age. All Danish patients aged 18 and older diagnosed with primary RCC from 1992 to 2021 with no prior cancer history (except non-melanoma skin cancer) were included and followed from diagnosis until death or end of follow-up (31-12-2023). Statistical analyses included Pearson's χ2, Cramer's V, Wilcoxon rank-sum test, Kruskal-Wallis, competing risk regression, Cox proportional hazard regression, and Kaplan-Meier. 17,423 RCC patients were identified. Primary RCC cases increased from 2,244 in 1992-1996 to 3,947 in 2017-2021. In this period, the proportion of male patients increased from 59 to 72% (P < 0.001). Male patients were younger at diagnosis than female patients (median age 65 vs. 69 years, P < 0.001). Localized cancer cases increased from 44% (N = 983) in 1992-1996 to 70% (N = 2,766) in 2017-2021, while metastatic cases declined from 29% (N = 640) to 17% (N = 652). Median survival for metastatic RCC improved from 4.1 months in 1992-1996 to 13.3 months in 2017-2021. Over three decades, RCC incidence in Denmark has grown, particularly among men, largely due to localized disease, adding pressure on urological departments. The number of metastatic cases remained stable, but survival improved, reflecting advances in early detection and treatment.

摘要

由于基于影像学的诊断增加以及转移性疾病治疗方法的改进,肾细胞癌(RCC)的管理取得了进展。这项基于全国登记处的队列研究调查了丹麦过去30年原发性RCC病例数量、诊断时的分期、预后的变化,以及这些变化与性别和年龄的关联。纳入了所有1992年至2021年期间年龄在18岁及以上、诊断为原发性RCC且无既往癌症病史(非黑色素瘤皮肤癌除外)的丹麦患者,并从诊断开始随访直至死亡或随访结束(2023年12月31日)。统计分析包括Pearson卡方检验、Cramer V检验、Wilcoxon秩和检验、Kruskal-Wallis检验、竞争风险回归、Cox比例风险回归和Kaplan-Meier分析。共识别出17423例RCC患者。原发性RCC病例从1992 - 1996年的2244例增加到2017 - 2021年的3947例。在此期间,男性患者的比例从59%增加到72%(P < 0.001)。男性患者诊断时的年龄比女性患者年轻(中位年龄65岁对69岁,P < 0.001)。局限性癌症病例从1992 - 1996年的44%(N = 983)增加到2017 - 2021年的70%(N = 2766),而转移性病例从29%(N = 640)下降到17%(N = 652)。转移性RCC的中位生存期从1992 - 1996年的4.1个月提高到2017 - 2021年的13.3个月。在三十年的时间里,丹麦RCC的发病率有所上升,尤其是在男性中,主要是由于局限性疾病,这给泌尿外科带来了更大压力。转移性病例数量保持稳定,但生存率有所提高,这反映了早期检测和治疗方面的进展。

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