Hershkowitz Sikron Fabienne, Schenker Rony, Shahar Orit, Akiva-Maliniak Achinoam Ben, Segal Galit, Koom Yishay, Wolf Idit, Mazengya Bawkat, Lewis Maor, Shochat Tzippy, Albukrek Dov
Department of Epidemiology and Medical Quality Assessment, Meuhedet HMO, Tel-Aviv Yaffo 6203854, Israel.
Director of Knowledge Development and Research, Joint-Eshel, 9 Eliezer Kaplan, Jerusalem 9103401, Israel.
Aging (Albany NY). 2025 May 12;17(5):1148-1163. doi: 10.18632/aging.206247.
BACKGROUND: Frailty is associated with an increased risk of adverse health outcomes and may worsen over time. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to describe the dynamic trajectory of frailty, identify the characteristics of those who deteriorate first, and determine what deteriorates first. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: A primary care longitudinal population-based cohort with repeated measures at baseline and one year later. PARTICIPANTS: The cohort included all 119,952 Meuhedet members aged 65 years and over as of January 2023. PREDICTORS: Demographic factors, health indicators, and the Meuhedet Electronic Frailty Index containing 36 deficits. OUTCOMES: Worsening frailty is defined as a higher frailty level one year later in 2024 compared to 2023. A new frailty deficit is defined as a deficit appearing in 2024 that was not present in 2023. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The comparison of worsening percentages by demographic and clinical characteristics was tested using the chi-square test at the univariable level and logistic regression at the multivariable level. RESULTS: Overall, 13.3% of participants worsened after one year of follow-up, with 2.3% dying. Higher risk groups for worsening included females, older individuals, those belonging to the Arab sector, and those with multimorbidity. New deficits mainly included modifiable risk factors related to general health and functionality, despite chronic diseases being more frequent at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Emphasizing intervention programs based on these health promotion issues may significantly impact disease control and slow frailty worsening.
背景:衰弱与不良健康结局风险增加相关,且可能随时间恶化。 目的:本研究旨在描述衰弱的动态轨迹,确定最先恶化者的特征,并确定最先恶化的方面。 研究设计与设置:一项基于初级保健纵向人群的队列研究,在基线和一年后进行重复测量。 参与者:该队列包括截至2023年1月所有119952名年龄在65岁及以上的梅乌赫德特成员。 预测因素:人口统计学因素、健康指标以及包含36项缺陷的梅乌赫德特电子衰弱指数。 结局:衰弱恶化定义为2024年的衰弱水平高于2023年。新的衰弱缺陷定义为2024年出现而2023年不存在的缺陷。 统计分析:通过单变量水平的卡方检验和多变量水平的逻辑回归对按人口统计学和临床特征划分的恶化百分比进行比较。 结果:总体而言,随访一年后13.3%的参与者病情恶化,2.3%的参与者死亡。病情恶化的高风险组包括女性、老年人、阿拉伯部门成员以及患有多种疾病的人。新缺陷主要包括与总体健康和功能相关的可改变风险因素,尽管慢性病在基线时更为常见。 结论:强调基于这些健康促进问题的干预项目可能会对疾病控制产生重大影响,并减缓衰弱的恶化。
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