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最具前景的埃博拉治疗方法对生存率的影响:刚果民主共和国第十次疫情期间的二次分析

Impact of most promising Ebola therapies on survival: a secondary analysis during the tenth outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

作者信息

Kikwango Esther Mamu, Akilimali Pierre Z, Tran Nguyen Toan

机构信息

Field Epidemiology training program, Kinshasa School of Public Health, University of Kinshasa, P.O. Box 11850, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo.

Department of Nutrition, Kinshasa School of Public Health, University of Kinshasa, P.O. Box 11850, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo.

出版信息

Virol J. 2025 May 15;22(1):144. doi: 10.1186/s12985-025-02766-y.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

MAb114, REGN-EB3, Remdesivir, and ZMapp, which are monoclonal antibody-based treatments, have been compared and shown to be promising therapies against the Ebola Virus Disease (EVD). There has been no comparison between these medications and standard treatment (without antiviral). Our study aimed to examine the contribution of each regimen compared to standard treatment on the survival of EVD patients and assess whether this association was modified by EVD vaccination (rVSV-ZEBOV Ebola vaccine) status.

METHODOLOGY

We performed a secondary analysis study using retrospective cohort data obtained from four EVD treatment centers located in Katwa, Mangina, Butembo, and Beni in the North Kivu region. The main outcome measure was mortality within a 28-day period among 781 included patients. A Cox model was used to identify predictors of survival in hospitalized EVD patients.

RESULTS

Vaccinated EVD patients were 1.7 times less likely to die compared to unvaccinated patients (3.70 days vs. 5.00 days; p = 0.0002). Delaying care and treatment at EVD treatment centres increased mortality risk by 5% for each day following symptom onset. Compared to the standard treatment group, adjusted mortality rates were significantly reduced in the groups receiving MAb114 (0.27, p < 0.001), REGN-EB3 (0.26, p < 0.001), and Remdesivir (0.38, p = 0.005). ZMapp also showed a reduction, though with borderline statistical significance (0.47, p = 0.032).

CONCLUSIONS

Prompt identification and treatment, along with enhanced supportive care (such as replenishing fluids and electrolytes and managing symptoms), significantly improve survival chances. Concurrently, administering vaccines and using mAb114, REGN-EB3, and, to some extent, Remdesivir further increase patient survival rates.

摘要

背景

基于单克隆抗体的治疗药物MAb114、REGN-EB3、瑞德西韦和ZMAb已被比较,显示出对埃博拉病毒病(EVD)具有前景的治疗效果。这些药物与标准治疗(无抗病毒药物)之间尚未进行比较。我们的研究旨在检验与标准治疗相比,每种治疗方案对EVD患者生存的贡献,并评估这种关联是否因EVD疫苗接种(重组水疱性口炎病毒载体埃博拉疫苗,rVSV-ZEBOV)状态而改变。

方法

我们使用从北基伍地区卡特瓦、曼吉纳、布滕博和贝尼的四个EVD治疗中心获得的回顾性队列数据进行了一项二次分析研究。主要结局指标是781例纳入患者在28天内的死亡率。使用Cox模型确定住院EVD患者生存的预测因素。

结果

接种疫苗的EVD患者死亡可能性比未接种疫苗的患者低1.7倍(3.70天对5.00天;p = 0.0002)。在EVD治疗中心延迟护理和治疗会使症状出现后每天的死亡风险增加5%。与标准治疗组相比,接受MAb114(0.27,p < 0.001)、REGN-EB3(0.26,p < 0.001)和瑞德西韦(0.38,p = 0.005)的组调整后的死亡率显著降低。ZMAb也显示出降低,尽管具有临界统计学意义(0.47,p = 0.032)。

结论

及时识别和治疗,以及加强支持性护理(如补充液体和电解质以及控制症状),可显著提高生存几率。同时,接种疫苗以及使用MAb114、REGN-EB3以及在一定程度上使用瑞德西韦可进一步提高患者生存率。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/731a/12079879/1ae092d9324d/12985_2025_2766_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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