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识别老年脓毒症患者心肌损伤的危险因素。

Identifying Risk Factors for Myocardial Injury in Elderly Patients with Sepsis.

作者信息

Han Yong-Yan, Yang Jun-Li, Meng Hui-Min, Wang Pu

机构信息

Department of Emergency, Hengshui People's Hospital, Hengshui, Hebei, China.

出版信息

Med Sci Monit. 2025 May 18;31:e947840. doi: 10.12659/MSM.947840.

Abstract

BACKGROUND Myocardial injury is a common complication in elderly patients with sepsis and is associated with poor prognosis. This study aimed to identify clinical characteristics and independent risk factors for myocardial injury in elderly sepsis patients admitted to the Emergency Intensive Care Unit (EICU). MATERIAL AND METHODS A retrospective analysis was conducted on 160 elderly patients with sepsis admitted to the EICU, categorized into myocardial injury and non-myocardial injury groups. Demographic data, inflammatory markers, echocardiographic parameters, and blood urea nitrogen-to-albumin ratio (BAR) values were compared. Logistic regression identified independent risk factors, and ROC curve analysis assessed the predictive value of BAR. RESULTS Of 160 patients, 106 (63.1%) had myocardial injury, with an average age of 77.56±7.49 years. Myocardial injury was associated with lower ejection fraction (EF), and elevated procalcitonin, lactate, and BAR levels (P<0.05). Logistic regression identified septic shock (RR=2.612, P=0.003), elevated BAR (RR=2.272, P=0.035) and lactate levels (RR=1.145, P=0.010) as independent risk factors for myocardial injury. In contrast, increased EF (RR=0.932, P=0.007) was identified as protective against myocardial injury, with lower EF associated with a higher risk. ROC analysis showed that BAR had moderate predictive value (AUC=0.653, P<0.01), with sensitivity of 76.4% and specificity of 53.2% at an optimal cutoff of 0.33. CONCLUSIONS Septic shock, reduced EF, and elevated BAR and lactate levels are independent risk factors for myocardial injury in elderly patients with sepsis. BAR serves as an early marker for myocardial injury, aiding in risk assessment and management in the EICU.

摘要

背景

心肌损伤是老年脓毒症患者常见的并发症,且与预后不良相关。本研究旨在确定入住急诊重症监护病房(EICU)的老年脓毒症患者心肌损伤的临床特征及独立危险因素。

材料与方法

对160例入住EICU的老年脓毒症患者进行回顾性分析,分为心肌损伤组和非心肌损伤组。比较人口统计学数据、炎症标志物、超声心动图参数及血尿素氮与白蛋白比值(BAR)值。采用Logistic回归确定独立危险因素,通过ROC曲线分析评估BAR的预测价值。

结果

160例患者中,106例(63.1%)发生心肌损伤,平均年龄为77.56±7.49岁。心肌损伤与较低的射血分数(EF)、降钙素原、乳酸及BAR水平升高相关(P<0.05)。Logistic回归确定脓毒性休克(RR=2.612,P=0.003)、BAR升高(RR=2.272,P=0.035)及乳酸水平升高(RR=1.145,P=0.010)为心肌损伤的独立危险因素。相反,EF升高(RR=0.932,P=0.007)被确定为预防心肌损伤的因素,EF较低与较高风险相关。ROC分析显示,BAR具有中等预测价值(AUC=0.653,P<0.01),在最佳截断值为0.33时,敏感性为76.4%,特异性为53.2%。

结论

脓毒性休克、EF降低及BAR和乳酸水平升高是老年脓毒症患者心肌损伤的独立危险因素。BAR可作为心肌损伤的早期标志物,有助于EICU中的风险评估和管理。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/db5a/12101096/531d9d2f21fd/medscimonit-31-e947840-g001.jpg

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