Halloran M Elizabeth
Vaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Annu Rev Stat Appl. 2025 Mar;12:1-18. doi: 10.1146/annurev-statistics-033121-120121. Epub 2024 Oct 30.
Due to dependent happenings, vaccines can have different effects in populations. In addition to direct protective effects in the vaccinated, vaccination in a population can have indirect effects in the unvaccinated individuals. Vaccination can also reduce person-to-person transmission to vaccinated individuals or from vaccinated individuals compared with unvaccinated individuals. Design of vaccine studies has a history extending back over a century. Emerging infectious diseases, such as the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and the Ebola outbreak in West Africa, have stimulated new interest in vaccine studies. We focus on some recent developments, such as target trial emulation, test-negative design, and regression discontinuity design. Methods for evaluating durability of vaccine effects were developed in the context of both blinded and unblinded placebo crossover studies. The case-ascertained design is used to assess the transmission effects of vaccines. The novel ring vaccination trial design was first used in the Ebola outbreak in West Africa.
由于相关事件的影响,疫苗在不同人群中可能会产生不同的效果。除了对接种者有直接保护作用外,人群接种疫苗还可能对未接种者产生间接影响。与未接种者相比,接种疫苗还可以减少接种者之间或从接种者向未接种者的人际传播。疫苗研究的设计历史可以追溯到一个多世纪以前。新出现的传染病,如严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)大流行和西非埃博拉疫情,激发了人们对疫苗研究的新兴趣。我们关注一些近期的进展,如目标试验模拟、检验阴性设计和回归不连续性设计。在盲法和非盲法安慰剂交叉研究的背景下,开发了评估疫苗效果持久性的方法。病例确定设计用于评估疫苗的传播效果。新型环式疫苗接种试验设计首次用于西非的埃博拉疫情。