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相对年龄效应没有变化,这为低收入足球俱乐部提供了一个比欧洲精英俱乐部更高效的机会。

The absence of changes in the relative age effect present an opportunity for lower income soccer clubs to be more efficient than Europe's elite.

作者信息

Craig Thomas P, Enright Kevin, Maughan Patrick, Abbott Will, Navarro Javier Fernandez

机构信息

School of Pharmacy, Applied Sciences and Public Health, Robert Gordon University, Aberdeen, United Kingdom.

Research Institute for Sport and Exercise Sciences, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, United Kingdom.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 May 20;20(5):e0323971. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0323971. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

An overrepresentation of athletes born earlier in the year compared with those born later in the year is known as the relative age effect (RAE). This is perceived to be due to physical selection bias which leads to higher degrees of exposure to coaching, physical training and competition at a younger age. Even with increasing knowledge and established interventions, clubs in Europe's top leagues still present a strong RAE. Scottish clubs have limited resources in comparison meaning academy efficiency is paramount. The main study aim was to assess changes in the RAE over a ten-year period in Scottish soccer. A secondary aim was to establish if physical differences exist across each quarter due to findings in English academy players that maturation status and not RAE is the main discrepancy for physicality. A retrospective analysis of 512 players from a Scottish academy over a ten year period was granted ethical approval. The impact of relative age effect was assessed against anthropometric and physical characteristics. The range of players in each quarter was Q1 37.0-42.9% versus Q2 22.8-32.4%, Q3 11.9-26.0% and Q4 7.1-14.3% with no impact of time on RAE profiles. Odds Ratio analysis indicate a greater chance of selection within the academy when assessing Q1vsQ4 players quarter comparisons (ranging 3.2-5.2 times more likely to be signed). When controlling for age group, multilevel modelling showed there were no significant differences across quarters in physical measures with the exception of a trivial CMJ difference. The lack of progression in the RAE profiles is disappointing however presents an opportunity for increased efficiency. By viewing the RAE as an under representation of Q4 players and using established corrective procedures, this can contribute to the unnecessary release of players from academies due to RAE, thus addressing challenges in financially restricted environments that resource rich environments such as Europe's elite have not yet overcome.

摘要

与出生在一年中较晚时候的运动员相比,出生在年初的运动员比例过高被称为相对年龄效应(RAE)。人们认为这是由于身体选拔偏见导致的,这种偏见使得运动员在年轻时有更多机会接受教练指导、体能训练和参加比赛。即使人们对这一现象的认识不断提高且已采取了相关干预措施,但欧洲顶级联赛的俱乐部中仍存在明显的相对年龄效应。相比之下,苏格兰俱乐部资源有限,因此青训营的效率至关重要。主要研究目的是评估苏格兰足球在十年间相对年龄效应的变化。次要目的是根据英格兰青训营球员的研究结果确定每个季度之间是否存在身体差异,因为研究发现成熟状态而非相对年龄效应是身体方面的主要差异所在。一项对苏格兰一家青训营512名球员进行的为期十年的回顾性分析获得了伦理批准。根据人体测量和身体特征评估相对年龄效应的影响。每个季度的球员比例范围为:第一季度37.0 - 42.9%,第二季度22.8 - 32.4%,第三季度11.9 - 26.0%,第四季度7.1 - 14.3%,时间对相对年龄效应分布没有影响。优势比分析表明,在评估第一季度与第四季度球员的季度比较时,球员被青训营选中的可能性更大(签约可能性高出3.2至5.2倍)。在控制年龄组后,多水平模型显示,除了一个微不足道的纵跳差异外,各季度在身体指标上没有显著差异。相对年龄效应分布没有变化令人失望,但也提供了提高效率的机会。将相对年龄效应视为第四季度球员比例过低的情况,并采用既定的纠正程序,这有助于解决因相对年龄效应导致青训营不必要放走球员的问题,从而应对资源丰富的欧洲精英环境尚未克服的资金受限环境中的挑战。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c282/12091877/e6a6b8083e7f/pone.0323971.g001.jpg

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