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The spatio-temporal trends and determinants of liver cancer attributable to specific etiologies: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

作者信息

Liu Jinli, Xu Tingling, Wang Yanan, Ji Fanpu, Zhang Lei

机构信息

Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University,, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, People's Republic of China.

China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Glob Health Res Policy. 2025 May 20;10(1):22. doi: 10.1186/s41256-025-00416-y.


DOI:10.1186/s41256-025-00416-y
PMID:40394727
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12090427/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Although liver cancer has varied causes, its evolving epidemiology and causal drivers remain underexplored. This study quantifies the trends and drivers of liver cancer burden attributable to specific causes from 1990 to 2021. METHODS: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study, we extracted prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with specific causes of liver cancer. We assessed spatio-temporal trends across the sociodemographic index (SDI) and quantified the contributions of epidemiological shifts, population growth, and ageing to DALYs. RESULTS: In 2021, liver cancer accounted for 0.74 million cases, 0.48 million deaths, and 12.89 million DALYs globally. Average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) in prevalence, mortality, and DALY rates from 1990 to 2021 were 1.17%, 1.04%, and 0.48%, respectively. HBV, HCV, and alcohol use were major contributors to DALYs, accounting for 1.92 million (36.00%), 1.53 million (28.62%), and 1.27 million (23.88%) of the increase, respectively. High-income North America and Western Europe experienced rapid growth in liver cancer prevalence from 1990 to 2021, while High-income North America and Southern Latin America had rapid growth in mortality. Global DALY increases were mainly driven by population growth (3.91 million, 73.29%) and population ageing (3.03 million, 56.86%). CONCLUSIONS: The study revealed that hepatitis B, hepatitis C, and alcohol consumption were the primary contributors to the increasing DALYs from liver cancer, with population growth and ageing as key drivers of these changes. These findings underscore the importance of considering the major factors and demographic dynamics in addressing the burden of liver cancer when formulating prevention and intervention strategies.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bd77/12090427/a79fcf929441/41256_2025_416_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bd77/12090427/a79fcf929441/41256_2025_416_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bd77/12090427/a79fcf929441/41256_2025_416_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet. 2024-5-18

[2]
Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet. 2024-5-18

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Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950-2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet. 2024-5-18

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Lancet. 2023-9-23

[5]
Global, regional, and national burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with projections of prevalence to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet. 2023-7-15

[6]
Adiposity and sex-specific cancer risk.

Cancer Cell. 2023-6-12

[7]
Obesity contributes to hepatocellular carcinoma development via immunosuppressive microenvironment remodeling.

Front Immunol. 2023

[8]
Global burden of hepatitis B virus: current status, missed opportunities and a call for action.

Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2023-8

[9]
The exposome and liver disease - how environmental factors affect liver health.

J Hepatol. 2023-8

[10]
Global burden of primary liver cancer and its association with underlying aetiologies, sociodemographic status, and sex differences from 1990-2019: A DALY-based analysis of the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study.

Clin Mol Hepatol. 2023-4

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