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过去二十年大湖中藻华频率的全球升高。

Global elevation of algal bloom frequency in large lakes over the past two decades.

作者信息

Wang Ying, Zhao Dan, Woolway R Iestyn, Yan Haoran, Paerl Hans W, Zheng Yi, Zheng Chunmiao, Feng Lian

机构信息

School of Environmental Science and Engineering, College of Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, China.

School of Ocean Sciences, Bangor University, Menai Bridge, LL59 5AB, UK.

出版信息

Natl Sci Rev. 2025 Jan 11;12(3):nwaf011. doi: 10.1093/nsr/nwaf011. eCollection 2025 Mar.

Abstract

The recent increase in algal blooms in lakes, potentially exacerbated by climate warming, is of global concern. However, a spatially and temporally detailed characterization of algal bloom trends at a global scale has been lacking, posing challenges to definitively attribute the increase trend to warming as a primary driver. Here, we used daily MODIS satellite observations from 2003 to 2022 to analyze algal bloom trends in 1956 large freshwater lakes worldwide. Among these lakes, 620 have experienced algal bloom events in over half of the years during the past two decades, with an upward trend in bloom frequency observed in 504 lakes. This trend is particularly prominent in subtropical regions and has become most pronounced after 2015. The global median annual bloom frequency has significantly increased at a rate of +1.8%/yr over the past two decades, showing a significant correlation with air temperatures (  = 0.43,  < 0.05). Furthermore, in 44.8% of the bloom-affected lakes, we observed a strong correlation between air temperature and bloom frequency. Our study helps clarify the factors contributing to the global expansion of algal blooms and emphasizes the urgent need to recognize and address this growing environmental challenge within the context of climate warming.

摘要

湖泊中藻华近期的增加,可能因气候变暖而加剧,这是全球关注的问题。然而,全球范围内缺乏对藻华趋势在空间和时间上的详细描述,这给将增加趋势明确归因于变暖这一主要驱动因素带来了挑战。在此,我们利用2003年至2022年的每日MODIS卫星观测数据,分析了全球1956个大型淡水湖的藻华趋势。在这些湖泊中,620个在过去二十年中超过半数年份经历了藻华事件,504个湖泊观测到藻华频率呈上升趋势。这一趋势在亚热带地区尤为突出,在2015年后最为明显。在过去二十年中,全球年度藻华频率中位数以每年+1.8%的速度显著增加,与气温呈显著相关(r = 0.43,p < 0.05)。此外,在44.8%受藻华影响的湖泊中,我们观测到气温与藻华频率之间存在强相关性。我们的研究有助于阐明促成全球藻华扩张的因素,并强调在气候变暖背景下认识和应对这一日益严峻的环境挑战的迫切需要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/07ea/12089762/091317f8edd0/nwaf011fig1.jpg

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