印度一次疫情中基孔肯雅病毒血清阳性率:一项系统评价与荟萃分析
Seropositivity of Chikungunya in an outbreak setting, India: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
作者信息
Nagarajan Ramya, Kaviprawin Mogan, Ayyasamy Lavanya, Parasuraman Ganeshkumar, Murhekar Manoj
机构信息
Non-Communicable Division, Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Epidemiology, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India.
Consultant, Indian Council of Medical Research-National Institute of Epidemiology, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India.
出版信息
J Family Med Prim Care. 2025 Apr;14(4):1529-1546. doi: 10.4103/jfmpc.jfmpc_1328_24. Epub 2025 Apr 25.
CONTEXT
Since 2005, the chikungunya virus (CHIKV) has caused numerous outbreaks in India. Though it causes many outbreaks every year, the disease dynamics are poorly understood in an outbreak setting.
AIMS
Hence, we conducted this review to estimate the seropositivity of the chikungunya infection during a community-based outbreak in India.
SETTINGS AND DESIGN
We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis as per the PRISMA guidelines. We included all the articles from India reporting the seropositivity of CHIKV in a community-based outbreak setting.
METHODS AND MATERIAL
Data on year, geographic location, and laboratory tests used to confirm the diagnosis were also extracted.
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS USED
We assessed the quality of the included studies using the National Institute of Health's study quality assessment tool.
RESULTS
We included 18 articles for the review. The pooled seropositivity of chikungunya infection is 38% (95%CI: 30- 45%; 95% PI: 0.03- 72%). The pooled seropositivity for males and females is 41%, respectively (male: 95% CI: 27- 54%; female: 95%CI: 26- 55%). The subgroup analysis by geographic location shows a high seropositivity in southern India (48%, 95% CI: 32- 64%) followed by eastern India (45%, 95% CI: 13- 77%).
CONCLUSIONS
Chikungunya has shown high seropositivity in an outbreak setting in India. This shows a high disease burden in the community, leading to local transmission. Though the seroprevalence has reduced over the years, we should still watch out for potential outbreaks in the community.
背景
自2005年以来,基孔肯雅病毒(CHIKV)在印度引发了多次疫情。尽管每年都会引发多次疫情,但在疫情爆发的情况下,人们对该疾病的动态了解甚少。
目的
因此,我们进行了这项综述,以评估印度社区疫情期间基孔肯雅感染的血清阳性率。
研究地点和设计
我们按照PRISMA指南进行了系统综述和荟萃分析。我们纳入了印度所有在社区疫情背景下报告基孔肯雅病毒血清阳性率的文章。
方法和材料
还提取了有关年份、地理位置以及用于确诊的实验室检测的数据。
所用统计分析方法
我们使用美国国立卫生研究院的研究质量评估工具评估纳入研究的质量。
结果
我们纳入了18篇文章进行综述。基孔肯雅感染的合并血清阳性率为38%(95%置信区间:30 - 45%;95%预测区间:0.03 - 72%)。男性和女性的合并血清阳性率分别为41%(男性:95%置信区间:27 - 54%;女性:95%置信区间:26 - 55%)。按地理位置进行的亚组分析显示,印度南部的血清阳性率较高(48%,95%置信区间:32 - 64%),其次是印度东部(45%,95%置信区间:13 - 77%)。
结论
在印度的疫情爆发中,基孔肯雅病毒显示出较高的血清阳性率。这表明社区中疾病负担较重,导致了本地传播。尽管多年来血清流行率有所下降,但我们仍应警惕社区中可能出现的疫情。
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