Paglino Eugenio, Elo Irma T
Helsinki Institute for Demography and Population Health, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Helsinki, Finland; Max Planck - University of Helsinki Center for Social Inequalities in Population Health, Finland.
Department of Sociology and Population Studies Center, University of Pennsylvania, United States.
Soc Sci Med. 2025 Sep;380:118191. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2025.118191. Epub 2025 May 13.
Interdisciplinary health scholarship has long documented the lower mortality of the foreign-born compared to the US-born populations. In this study, we examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on this migrant mortality advantage in 2020, 2021 and 2022 compared to 2017-2019 and estimate the contributions of the foreign-born population to US life expectancy by race and Hispanic Origin. In 2020, life expectancy declined more among all foreign-born subgroups than their US-born counterparts. The overall foreign-born life expectancy advantage declined by 1.0 year for women by 2.4 years for men and their contribution to US life expectancy declined by 0.13 years for women and 0.30 years for men. In 2021, mortality continued to increase among all US-born subgroups, but it declined among all foreign-born populations and their contributions to US life expectancy recovered their pre-pandemic size for women, but not for men. In 2022, both US-born and foreign-born life expectancies increased and the foreign-born contribution to US life expectancy exceeded its pre-pandemic size for women but not for men. At the same time, however, life expectancies for US-born and foreign-born men and women in 2022 remained below their level in 2017-2019. Among the foreign-born subgroups, Hispanic men experienced both the largest decline in life expectancy between 2017 and 2019 and 2020 and the slowest recovery by 2022. Overall, the U.S. experienced one of the largest life expectancy declines among high-income countries. This decline would have been even larger without the life expectancy gains of the foreign-born population in 2021 and 2022.
跨学科健康学术研究长期以来都记录了外国出生人口相较于美国本土出生人口更低的死亡率。在本研究中,我们考察了2020年、2021年和2022年新冠疫情对这种移民死亡率优势的影响,并与2017 - 2019年进行比较,同时按种族和西班牙裔血统估算外国出生人口对美国预期寿命的贡献。2020年,所有外国出生亚组的预期寿命下降幅度均超过了美国本土出生的对应亚组。外国出生女性的总体预期寿命优势下降了1.0岁,男性下降了2.4岁,她们对美国预期寿命的贡献,女性下降了0.13岁,男性下降了0.30岁。2021年,所有美国本土出生亚组的死亡率持续上升,但所有外国出生人口的死亡率下降了,他们对美国预期寿命的贡献,女性恢复到了疫情前的水平,男性则没有。2022年,美国本土出生和外国出生的预期寿命均有所增加,外国出生人口对美国预期寿命的贡献,女性超过了疫情前的水平,男性则没有。然而,与此同时,2022年美国本土出生和外国出生的男性和女性的预期寿命仍低于2017 - 2019年的水平。在外国出生亚组中,西班牙裔男性在2017年至2019年以及2020年期间预期寿命下降幅度最大,到2022年恢复最慢。总体而言,美国是高收入国家中预期寿命下降幅度最大的国家之一。如果没有2021年和2022年外国出生人口预期寿命的增加,这种下降幅度会更大。