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信息通信技术、产业结构升级与空间溢出效应。

Information and communication technology, upgrading of industrial structure and spatial spillover effect.

作者信息

Fang Heyuan, Iqbal Kashif

机构信息

School of Digital Economics and Management, Wuxi University, Wuxi, 214105, China.

Department of Economics and Finance, The Business School, RMIT Vietnam, Ho Chi Minh City, 760000, Vietnam.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 May 26;15(1):18340. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-02957-1.

Abstract

Against the backdrop of China's "dual-carbon" goals and regional coordination strategies, information and communication technology (ICT) is positioned as a critical enabler to resolve efficiency-resource trade-offs and bridge spatial development gaps. This paper investigates the impact of ICT on the industrial structure upgrading (ISU) process using the Spatial Dubin Model (SDM). Based on the panel data of cities in the Yangtze River Delta region of China from 2001 to 2023, the empirical results indicate that ICT has a positive effect on ISU and that there are significant positive spatial spillover effects. Technological innovation and productivity improvement play essential mediating roles during this process. We also find that ICT has a greater impact on the cities in the early stages of industrial upgrading than on those in the developed stages. These findings offer actionable insights for policymakers to leverage ICT's cross-regional synergies, particularly in emerging economies grappling with imbalanced industrial ecosystems and sustainability constraints.

摘要

在中国“双碳”目标和区域协调战略的背景下,信息通信技术(ICT)被定位为解决效率与资源权衡以及弥合空间发展差距的关键推动因素。本文使用空间杜宾模型(SDM)研究ICT对产业结构升级(ISU)过程的影响。基于2001年至2023年中国长江三角洲地区城市的面板数据,实证结果表明,ICT对ISU有积极影响,且存在显著的正向空间溢出效应。技术创新和生产率提高在此过程中发挥着重要的中介作用。我们还发现,ICT对处于产业升级早期阶段的城市的影响大于对发达阶段城市的影响。这些发现为政策制定者利用ICT的跨区域协同效应提供了可操作的见解,特别是在那些正在应对产业生态系统失衡和可持续性约束的新兴经济体中。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ad2f/12106691/4b715d8b96bf/41598_2025_2957_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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