Qi Yuhan, Zhang Yu, Xue Jiali, Zhang Zhen, Cao Jingjing, Yang Nianwan, Wan Fanghao, Xian Xiaoqing, Liu Wanxue
State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100193, China.
College of Resources and Environment, Anhui Agricultural University, Hefei 230036, China.
Biology (Basel). 2025 May 5;14(5):504. doi: 10.3390/biology14050504.
is an ornamental macrophyte native to North America that has been introduced to Europe and Asia, and having been established, has had detrimental effects on local aquatic ecosystems. In this study, we developed an optimized MaxEnt model to predict the global potential habitat suitability for under the influence of climate change. The model incorporated 20 relevant impact factors and occurrence record data for . The results reveal that under current and future climate scenarios, potentially suitable habitats for can be found on six assessed continents, mainly in Western Europe, western and eastern North America, southeastern Asia, southeastern Oceania, and scattered coastal areas in South America and Africa. Moreover, temperature and precipitation were identified as factors having significant effects on the distribution of . In the future, the area of habitats potentially suitable for is predicted to expand, particularly towards higher latitudes.
是一种原产于北美的观赏大型植物,已被引入欧洲和亚洲,并且在定居后对当地水生生态系统产生了不利影响。在本研究中,我们开发了一种优化的最大熵模型,以预测在气候变化影响下的全球潜在栖息地适宜性。该模型纳入了20个相关影响因子和的出现记录数据。结果表明,在当前和未来气候情景下,在六个评估大陆上都能找到潜在适合的栖息地,主要分布在西欧、北美西部和东部、东南亚、大洋洲东南部以及南美洲和非洲的零散沿海地区。此外,温度和降水被确定为对分布有显著影响的因素。未来,预计潜在适合的栖息地面积将会扩大,特别是向高纬度地区扩展。