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心力衰竭、慢性肾脏病和心房颤动患者的多因素风险分层:一项综合分析

Multifactorial Risk Stratification in Patients with Heart Failure, Chronic Kidney Disease, and Atrial Fibrillation: A Comprehensive Analysis.

作者信息

Iacob Mihai Sorin, Kundnani Nilima Rajpal, Sharma Abhinav, Meche Vlad, Ciobotaru Paul, Bedreag Ovidiu, Sandesc Dorel, Dragan Simona Ruxanda, Papurica Marius, Stanga Livia Claudia

机构信息

Doctoral School, "Victor Babes" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 3000041 Timisoara, Romania.

University Clinic of Internal Medicine and Ambulatory Care, Prevention and Cardiovascular Recovery, Department VI-Cardiology, "Victor Babes" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 3000041 Timisoara, Romania.

出版信息

Life (Basel). 2025 May 14;15(5):786. doi: 10.3390/life15050786.


DOI:10.3390/life15050786
PMID:40430213
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12113112/
Abstract

Heart failure (HF), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexist, forming a high-risk triad that amplifies morbidity and mortality through shared pathophysiological mechanisms such as neurohormonal activation, fluid overload, and inflammation. Current risk stratification tools, including CHADS-VASc and HAS-BLED, inadequately capture the complexity of these multimorbid patients. This study aims to explore the influence of comorbidities, hypertension severity, anticoagulation strategy, and risk scores on hospitalization outcomes in patients with coexisting HF, CKD, and AF. A retrospective case study was conducted on 174 hospitalized patients with HF, CKD, and AF. Clinical data included hypertension grade, HF phenotype (HFpEF vs. HFrEF), NYHA classification, renal function (KDIGO stage), stroke and bleeding risk scores (CHADS-VASc: congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75, diabetes, and stroke/TIA; HAS-BLED: hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding, labile INR, elderly, and drugs/alcohol), comorbidities (neurological, psychiatric, COPD, and diabetes), anticoagulation type (DOACs vs. VKAs), and length of hospital stay. Statistical analysis included Spearman correlation, independent t-tests, and multivariate regression to evaluate associations between variables and clinical outcomes. Most patients were elderly (mean age 75 ± 12), with advanced CKD (stage 3b) and systolic HF (77% HFrEF). Mean CHADS-VASc was 5.67, HAS-BLED was 4.40, and ATRIA was 4.74, indicating high stroke and bleeding risk. Anticoagulation was predominantly via DOACs (69.5%). Hypertension severity did not significantly correlate with NYHA class (ρ = -0.14, = 0.068). Neurological, psychiatric, and metabolic comorbidities showed no significant associations with HF severity. COPD and diabetes correlated inversely with CHADS-VASc scores (ρ = -0.83, = 0.014). No significant differences were observed in hospital stay between HF phenotypes or prior stroke history. In-hospital mortality was low (2.3%). Traditional risk scores do not fully capture the complexity of multimorbid patients. Metabolic comorbidities showed an inverse correlation with stroke risk scores, and no significant correlation was observed between hypertension severity and HF symptom burden. Hypertension and common comorbidities did not correlate with HF symptom burden, and metabolic diseases may paradoxically associate with lower stroke risk scores. These findings highlight the need for improved multimodal risk assessment strategies that consider the heterogeneity of multimorbid populations. Personalized, integrated approaches are essential to optimize anticoagulation, reduce hospitalization, and improve prognosis.

摘要

心力衰竭(HF)、慢性肾脏病(CKD)和心房颤动(AF)常同时存在,形成一个高危三联征,通过神经激素激活、液体超负荷和炎症等共同的病理生理机制增加发病率和死亡率。目前的风险分层工具,包括CHADS-VASc和HAS-BLED,不足以反映这些多病共存患者的复杂性。本研究旨在探讨合并症、高血压严重程度、抗凝策略和风险评分对同时患有HF、CKD和AF患者住院结局的影响。对174例住院的HF、CKD和AF患者进行了回顾性病例研究。临床数据包括高血压分级、HF表型(射血分数保留的HF[HFpEF]与射血分数降低的HF[HFrEF])、纽约心脏协会(NYHA)分级、肾功能(肾脏病改善全球预后[KDIGO]分期)、中风和出血风险评分(CHADS-VASc:充血性心力衰竭、高血压、年龄≥75岁、糖尿病和中风/短暂性脑缺血发作[TIA];HAS-BLED:高血压、肾/肝功能异常、中风、出血、国际标准化比值[INR]不稳定、老年人以及药物/酒精)、合并症(神经、精神、慢性阻塞性肺疾病[COPD]和糖尿病)、抗凝类型(直接口服抗凝剂[DOACs]与维生素K拮抗剂[VKAs])以及住院时间。统计分析包括Spearman相关性分析、独立t检验和多变量回归,以评估变量与临床结局之间的关联。大多数患者为老年人(平均年龄75±12岁),患有晚期CKD(3b期)和收缩性HF(77%为HFrEF)。平均CHADS-VASc为5.67,HAS-BLED为4.40,心房颤动风险评估量表(ATRIA)为4.74,表明中风和出血风险高。抗凝主要通过DOACs(69.5%)进行。高血压严重程度与NYHA分级无显著相关性(ρ=-0.14,P=0.068)。神经、精神和代谢合并症与HF严重程度无显著关联。COPD和糖尿病与CHADS-VASc评分呈负相关(ρ=-0.83,P=0.014)。HF表型或既往中风史之间的住院时间无显著差异。住院死亡率较低(2.3%)。传统风险评分不能完全反映多病共存患者的复杂性。代谢合并症与中风风险评分呈负相关,高血压严重程度与HF症状负担之间无显著相关性。高血压和常见合并症与HF症状负担无关,代谢性疾病可能反常地与较低的中风风险评分相关。这些发现凸显了需要改进多模式风险评估策略,以考虑多病共存人群的异质性。个性化、综合的方法对于优化抗凝、减少住院和改善预后至关重要。

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