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通过纸牌游戏实验研究运气信念、因果归因与幸福感之间的关系。

Investigating the relationship between luck beliefs causal attributions and well-being through a card game experiment.

作者信息

Miwa Kazuhisa, Yang Wentong, Matsubayashi Shota

机构信息

Department of Psychological and Cognitive Sciences, Graduate School of Informatics, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 May 28;15(1):18744. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-95457-1.

Abstract

This study investigated the relationship between luck beliefs, causal attribution, and well-being through a card game experiment. Building on the two-factor model of luck beliefs-general belief in luck (Belief in Luck) and personal luck (Personal Luckiness)-this study explored how these beliefs influenced subjective well-being and causal attributions to luck or ability. Participants (N = 441) played a concentration card game against a computer agent with varying memory capacities while evaluating whether their success was attributable to luck or ability. The results supported three key hypotheses: (1) Belief in luck was negatively associated with cognitive well-being, whereas Personal Luckiness positively correlated with both cognitive and affective well-being; (2) Belief in luck predicted higher attribution to luck, whereas Personal Luckiness correlated with both luck and ability attributions; and (3) no consistent relationships between causal attributions and well-being were found. These findings highlight the complex psychological mechanisms that link luck beliefs, causal attribution, and well-being.

摘要

本研究通过纸牌游戏实验,调查了运气信念、因果归因与幸福感之间的关系。基于运气信念的双因素模型——对运气的一般信念(运气信念)和个人运气(个人幸运感),本研究探讨了这些信念如何影响主观幸福感以及对运气或能力的因果归因。参与者(N = 441)与具有不同记忆能力的计算机代理进行配对纸牌游戏,同时评估他们的成功是归因于运气还是能力。结果支持了三个关键假设:(1)运气信念与认知幸福感呈负相关,而个人幸运感与认知和情感幸福感均呈正相关;(2)运气信念预示着对运气的更高归因,而个人幸运感与运气和能力归因均相关;(3)未发现因果归因与幸福感之间存在一致关系。这些发现突出了连接运气信念、因果归因和幸福感的复杂心理机制。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6507/12119991/2fc5b0e32e61/41598_2025_95457_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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