Lechat M F, Misson C B, Lambert A, Bouckaert A, Vanderveken M, Vellut C
Int J Lepr Other Mycobact Dis. 1985 Sep;53(3):461-7.
Epidemiometric models are useful in studying disease dynamics in populations. Such a model was developed for leprosy and proved useful, but did not take into account age- and sex-specific incidence rates. This paper presents a new version of the model which makes provisions for age and sex differential rates according to the type of leprosy and which includes more realistic parameters for death rates, population variations, and natural growth rates. This new version of the epidemiometric model was used to stimulate the effects of various vaccines and drug resistance on the incidence of leprosy in a population.
流行病学模型在研究人群疾病动态方面很有用。已经开发了一种用于麻风病的此类模型并证明是有用的，但没有考虑到特定年龄和性别的发病率。本文提出了该模型的一个新版本，它根据麻风病的类型对年龄和性别差异率做出了规定，并且包括了死亡率、人口变化和自然增长率等更现实的参数。这个新版本的流行病学模型被用来模拟各种疫苗和耐药性对人群中麻风病发病率的影响。
