Xiao Yige, Liu Xin, Ren Lijie, Lai Shufang
School of Finance and Economics, Shenzhen Institute of Information Technology, Shenzhen, China.
International School of Business & Finance, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, China.
Npj Ment Health Res. 2025 Jun 3;4(1):24. doi: 10.1038/s44184-025-00135-9.
This study examines the net societal impact of housing price fluctuations on mental health during a housing boom. Analyzing data from 31 Chinese provinces between 2008 and 2019, we identify a significant positive relationship between housing price returns and the rate of psychiatric outpatient visits, suggesting that rising house prices decrease mental health. The results remain robust after controlling for local firms' stock returns. Placebo tests show that mental health impacts are primarily driven by housing price changes in the patients' local neighborhoods. Moreover, using City-level data from a hospital in Shenzhen (where housing prices showed the sharpest rise between January 2015 and April 2019), we document a two-week lagged effect of housing price surges on mental health Deterioration, which takes slightly longer to manifest than the negative effect of stock market fluctuations. Overall, our findings suggest that housing booms deteriorate mental health and increase the societal burden on healthcare systems.
本研究考察了房地产繁荣时期房价波动对心理健康的净社会影响。通过分析2008年至2019年间中国31个省份的数据,我们发现房价回报与精神科门诊就诊率之间存在显著的正相关关系,这表明房价上涨会降低心理健康水平。在控制了当地企业的股票回报后,结果依然稳健。安慰剂检验表明,心理健康影响主要由患者所在当地社区的房价变化驱动。此外,利用深圳一家医院的城市层面数据(2015年1月至2019年4月房价涨幅最大),我们记录了房价飙升对心理健康恶化的两周滞后效应,其显现时间比股市波动的负面影响略长。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,房地产繁荣会损害心理健康,并增加医疗系统的社会负担。