He Kaiying, Zhu Yan, Wang Wansong, Wang Zhihui, Guo Shiwan, Wu Jing
Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated People's Hospital of Fujian University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, No. 602, 817 Middle Road, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China.
Nanchang Institute of Technology, Nanchang, China.
BMC Nephrol. 2025 Jun 3;26(1):275. doi: 10.1186/s12882-025-04214-z.
BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is prevalent worldwide, with patients facing significant mortality risk in intensive care units (ICUs). Early identification of high-risk CKD patients is crucial for improving clinical outcomes. The blood urea nitrogen to albumin ratio (BAR) is a simple and measurable indicator, but its relationship with 28-day mortality in CKD patients is not well established. This study aimed to investigate this association. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of eligible CKD patients from the MIMIC IV database. The association between the BAR and 28-day mortality was assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival curves, multivariable Cox regression models, and restricted cubic spline models. RESULTS: A total of 4,625 patients were included, with a 28-day mortality rate of 25.2%. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis indicated that patients in the high BAR tertile had significantly lower survival probabilities than those in the low BAR tertile. The adjusted Cox regression model showed that compared to low BAR patients (T1 ≤ 9.8 mg/g), those in T2 (10.0-17.4 mg/g) and T3 (≥ 17.5 mg/g) had increased risks of 28-day mortality, with HRs of 1.49 (95% CI: 1.26-1.76) and 2.04 (95% CI: 1.73-2.40), respectively. Restricted cubic spline analysis indicated a nonlinear association. CONCLUSION: The BAR is significantly associated with 28-day mortality risk in ICU patients with CKD and may serve as a valuable tool for mortality risk stratification.
背景:慢性肾脏病(CKD)在全球范围内普遍存在,患者在重症监护病房(ICU)面临着显著的死亡风险。早期识别高危CKD患者对于改善临床结局至关重要。血尿素氮与白蛋白比值(BAR)是一个简单且可测量的指标,但其与CKD患者28天死亡率的关系尚未明确确立。本研究旨在探讨这种关联。 方法:我们对MIMIC IV数据库中符合条件的CKD患者进行了回顾性分析。使用Kaplan-Meier生存曲线、多变量Cox回归模型和限制性立方样条模型评估BAR与28天死亡率之间的关联。 结果:共纳入4625例患者,28天死亡率为25.2%。Kaplan-Meier生存曲线分析表明,BAR处于高三分位数的患者的生存概率显著低于BAR处于低三分位数的患者。调整后的Cox回归模型显示,与低BAR患者(T1≤9.8mg/g)相比,T2(10.0 - 17.4mg/g)和T3(≥17.5mg/g)的患者28天死亡风险增加,风险比分别为1.49(95%CI:1.26 - 1.76)和2.04(95%CI:1.73 - 2.40)。限制性立方样条分析表明存在非线性关联。 结论:BAR与ICU中CKD患者的28天死亡风险显著相关,可能是死亡风险分层的有价值工具。
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2025-2-17