Fan Yifei, Chan Duo, Clothiaux Eugene E, Zhang Pengfei, Li Laifang
Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA.
School of Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, Hampshire, UK.
Sci Adv. 2025 Jun 6;11(23):eads1624. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.ads1624. Epub 2025 Jun 4.
In contrast to global warming, the subpolar North Atlantic has experienced long-term cooling throughout the 20th century. This cooling, known as the North Atlantic cold blob, has been hypothesized to arise from reduced poleward oceanic heat transport associated with a slowdown of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). Here, by diagnosing historical simulations from multiple coupled climate models, we find that ocean heat transport is not the only pathway through which the AMOC modulates sea surface temperature variability. A weakened AMOC is also associated with colder, drier lower atmospheric conditions, which lead to a reduction in surface warming expected from increasing amounts of heat-trapping gases by reducing downward clear-sky longwave radiation at the surface. This radiative pathway and the oceanic processes contribute equally to the North Atlantic cold blob. These results highlight the importance of the AMOC's impact on atmospheric properties and their radiative effects.
与全球变暖形成对比的是,北极亚极地地区在整个20世纪经历了长期降温。这种降温现象被称为北大西洋冷斑,据推测是由于与大西洋经向翻转环流(AMOC)放缓相关的向北海洋热输送减少所致。在此,通过分析多个耦合气候模型的历史模拟结果,我们发现海洋热输送并非AMOC调节海表温度变率的唯一途径。AMOC减弱还与更寒冷、干燥的低层大气状况相关,这会导致地表晴空长波辐射向下减少,从而降低因温室气体增加而预期的地表变暖。这种辐射途径和海洋过程对北大西洋冷斑的贡献相当。这些结果凸显了AMOC对大气特性及其辐射效应影响的重要性。