Okunogbe Adeyemi, Bisanzio Donal, Spencer Garrison, Chhabria Shradha, Powis Jaynaide, Nugent Rachel
RAND Corporation, Arlington, Virginia, United States of America.
RTI International, Durham, North Carolina, United States of America.
PLOS Glob Public Health. 2025 Jun 4;5(6):e0001445. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001445. eCollection 2025.
During the COVID-19 pandemic, it quickly became clear that people living with overweight and obesity (OAO) have a higher risk for more severe health outcomes. The objective of this study is to investigate how the health and economic impacts of COVID-19 are exacerbated by OAO. We estimated economic impacts of COVID-19 associated with OAO for eight countries using a cost-of-illness approach from a limited societal perspective. Direct medical costs and premature mortality costs between 2020 and 2030 were estimated. Country-specific data were sourced from published studies and global databases. Additional COVID-19 hospitalizations, ICU admissions, and deaths among the population with OAO accounted for approximately 20% of hospitalizations, 43% of ICU admissions, and 17% of deaths from COVID-19 in 2020 and 2021 on average across the eight countries. As a percent of GDP, additional treatment and premature mortality costs ranged from between 0.0003% in Thailand to 0.62% in Brazil in 2020 and between 0.009% in Australia to 0.56% in Brazil in 2021. In future COVID-19 prevalence scenarios, keeping OAO prevalence at 2019 levels or reducing it by 50% will translate into average annual reductions of 17.4%-18.5% and 40.8%-41.4% in additional costs respectively between 2022 and 2030 across the eight countries. This study provides initial evidence on the significant economic impacts of COVID-19 on populations with OAO. Our findings support the need for strengthened political commitment and adequate prioritization of OAO prevention and reduction interventions to help increase resilience to public health emergencies in these and other countries.
在新冠疫情期间,很快就清楚地表明,超重和肥胖人群感染新冠病毒后出现更严重健康后果的风险更高。本研究的目的是调查超重和肥胖如何加剧新冠疫情对健康和经济的影响。我们从有限的社会视角采用疾病成本法估算了八个国家与超重和肥胖相关的新冠疫情经济影响。估算了2020年至2030年期间的直接医疗成本和过早死亡成本。特定国家的数据来自已发表的研究和全球数据库。在这八个国家中,2020年和2021年期间,超重和肥胖人群中额外的新冠住院病例、重症监护病房(ICU)入院病例和死亡病例平均分别占新冠住院病例的20%、ICU入院病例的43%和新冠死亡病例的17%。作为国内生产总值(GDP)的百分比,2020年额外的治疗和过早死亡成本在泰国为0.0003%至巴西的0.62%之间,2021年在澳大利亚为0.009%至巴西的0.56%之间。在未来新冠疫情流行的情景下,将超重和肥胖患病率维持在2019年的水平或降低50%,在2022年至2030年期间,这八个国家的额外成本将分别平均每年降低17.4% - 18.5%和40.8% - 41.4%。本研究为新冠疫情对超重和肥胖人群的重大经济影响提供了初步证据。我们的研究结果支持加强政治承诺以及对超重和肥胖预防与减少干预措施进行充分优先排序的必要性,以帮助这些国家和其他国家增强应对突发公共卫生事件的能力。
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