Yama Cecile, Rook Jordan M, Wisk Lauren E, Dudovitz Rebecca, Hernández Diana, Eisenman David P, Leifheit Kathryn M
Cecile L. Yama and Jordan M. Rook are with the National Clinician Scholars Program, University of California, Los Angeles. Lauren E. Wisk, Rebecca Dudovitz, David P. Eisenman, and Kathryn M. Leifheit are with the David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles. Diana Hernández is with the Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY.
Am J Public Health. 2025 Aug;115(8):1312-1321. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2025.308105. Epub 2025 Jun 5.
To assess the relationship between the expiration of the expanded child tax credit (ECTC) and changes in energy insecurity among US households with children from 2021 to 2022. We used nationally representative survey data to evaluate changes in energy insecurity among credit-eligible versus -ineligible households during and after the ECTC expansion. We performed difference-in-differences analyses to estimate changes in energy insecurity in the 2 groups and conducted stratified analyses by percentage of the federal poverty line. There was a 0.95 percentage point increase in inability to pay energy bills (95% confidence interval = 0.07, 1.85) among households with children but no difference in other measures of energy insecurity. Stratified analyses showed that households at 200% to 399% and 400% to 599% of the federal poverty line experienced increases in energy insecurity after expiration of the ECTC. We saw no differences in the lowest-income groups (< 200% federal poverty line). The expiration of the ECTC was associated with increased inability to pay energy bills, suggesting that the credit prevented some forms of energy insecurity in households with children. Associations were limited to middle-income groups, indicating benefits were limited to this income stratum. (. 2025;115(8):1312-1321. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2025.308105).
评估2021年至2022年美国有子女家庭扩大儿童税收抵免（ECTC）到期与能源不安全状况变化之间的关系。我们使用具有全国代表性的调查数据来评估ECTC扩大期间及之后符合信贷条件与不符合信贷条件家庭的能源不安全状况变化。我们进行了双重差分分析以估计两组家庭能源不安全状况的变化，并按联邦贫困线百分比进行分层分析。有子女家庭中无法支付能源账单的情况增加了0.95个百分点（95%置信区间=0.07，1.85），但在其他能源不安全衡量指标上没有差异。分层分析表明，联邦贫困线200%至399%以及400%至599%的家庭在ECTC到期后能源不安全状况有所增加。我们发现最低收入群体（<联邦贫困线200%）没有差异。ECTC到期与无法支付能源账单的情况增加有关，这表明该税收抵免防止了有子女家庭出现某些形式的能源不安全状况。这种关联仅限于中等收入群体，表明福利仅限于该收入阶层。（. 2025;115(8):1312 - 1321. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2025.308105）
