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中俄协约及其未来。

The Russia-China entente and its future.

作者信息

Lukin Artyom

机构信息

School of Regional and International Studies, Far Eastern Federal University, 125-43/2 Narodny Prospect, Vladivostok, Russia 690014.

出版信息

Int Polit (Hague). 2021;58(3):363-380. doi: 10.1057/s41311-020-00251-7. Epub 2020 Jun 13.

Abstract

The 'strategic partnership' between Moscow and Beijing is already more than two decades old and continues to evolve toward more consolidation, a trend which the coronavirus pandemic will only serve to accelerate. Its current state can be characterized as a quasi-alliance, or entente. The article first examines the Russia-China cooperation in the two most crucial areas-geo-economic and military. Then, it asks the question whether Moscow and Beijing could be on the verge of forming an alliance. The article proceeds to analyze the Russian-Chinese interaction in the areas of Eurasia where both of them have significant stakes and intersecting interests: East Asia, the post-Soviet space (with the focus on Central Asia), and the Arctic. Finally, the author draws up several scenarios envisioning the future of the Sino-Russian relationship.

摘要

莫斯科与北京之间的“战略伙伴关系”已历经二十多年,且仍在朝着更紧密的方向发展,新冠疫情只会加速这一趋势。其当前状态可被描述为准联盟或协约。本文首先考察俄中在两个最关键领域——地缘经济和军事——的合作。然后,探讨莫斯科和北京是否即将结成联盟这一问题。接着,分析俄中在欧亚大陆双方都有重大利益且利益交叉的地区的互动情况:东亚、后苏联空间(重点是中亚)以及北极地区。最后,作者勾勒了几种设想中俄关系未来走向的情景。

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