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使用基于智能体的方法对建筑项目中的工作班次进行建模,以尽量减少新冠病毒的传播。

Modeling working shifts in construction projects using an agent-based approach to minimize the spread of COVID-19.

作者信息

Araya Felipe

机构信息

Departamento de Obras Civiles, Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María, Avenida España, 1680, Valparaíso, Chile.

出版信息

J Build Eng. 2021 Sep;41:102413. doi: 10.1016/j.jobe.2021.102413. Epub 2021 Mar 18.

Abstract

The spread of COVID-19 has modified how we relate with other people and our built environment, changing from in-person to primarily virtual activities. However, some activities are impossible to be virtually performed, such as construction activities. Consequently, the construction industry has been highly impacted by the pandemic due to COVID-19. In response to the impacts of the pandemic, the construction sector must identify alternatives that can minimize the spread of COVID-19 among workers in construction projects. Given this context, this study explores the alternative of managing the workforce of construction projects using multiple working shifts as multiple shifts may reduce construction workers' density in the field, and with that, reducing the probabilities to spread COVID-19 among workers. This study presents an agent-based modeling approach to assess the impact of using two shifts to reduce the spread of COVID19 among construction workers. The model is supported by data found in the literature to simulate workers' behavior regarding multiple shifts and by international institutions to simulate the pandemic context through multiple scenarios. This study found that the more workers are assigned to a night shift during a project, the higher the average number of workers classified as healthy (i.e., without COVID-19) is going to be. Namely, by assigning approximately half of the workers involved in a project to a night shift, the average number of healthy workers can be increased by 20% on a project. Quantifying the impact of alternatives that may reduce the spread of COVID-19 among construction workers can incentivize the implementation of such alternatives by construction managers. This study contributes to quantifying the benefits of using multiple working shifts to minimize the spread of COVID-19 among construction workers.

摘要

新冠疫情的蔓延改变了我们与他人及周围环境的相处方式,从面对面活动为主转变为主要以虚拟活动为主。然而,有些活动无法通过虚拟方式进行,比如建筑施工活动。因此,新冠疫情对建筑业造成了巨大冲击。为应对疫情的影响,建筑行业必须找到替代方案,以尽量减少新冠病毒在建筑项目工人中的传播。在此背景下,本研究探讨了利用多班制管理建筑项目劳动力的替代方案,因为多班制可能会降低施工现场建筑工人的密度,从而降低新冠病毒在工人之间传播的可能性。本研究提出了一种基于主体的建模方法,以评估采用两班制对减少建筑工人中新冠病毒传播的影响。该模型得到了文献中有关工人多班制行为数据的支持,并通过国际机构提供的多种情景来模拟疫情背景。本研究发现,在一个项目中分配到夜班的工人越多,被归类为健康(即未感染新冠病毒)的工人平均数量就越高。也就是说,将参与项目的大约一半工人分配到夜班,一个项目中健康工人的平均数量可以增加20%。量化可能减少建筑工人中新冠病毒传播的替代方案的影响,可以激励建筑管理人员实施这些替代方案。本研究有助于量化采用多班制以尽量减少建筑工人中新冠病毒传播的益处。

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本文引用的文献

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Impact of COVID-19 on health and safety in the construction sector.新冠疫情对建筑业健康与安全的影响。
Hum Factors Ergon Manuf. 2021 Jul;31(4):425-437. doi: 10.1002/hfm.20882. Epub 2021 Jan 12.
9
Antivirus-built environment: Lessons learned from Covid-19 pandemic.抗病毒构建环境:从新冠疫情中吸取的教训。
Sustain Cities Soc. 2020 Oct;61:102350. doi: 10.1016/j.scs.2020.102350. Epub 2020 Jun 24.

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