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新冠疫情危机后世界经济的发展:可持续性与稳定性vs.快速数字增长

The World Economy's Development After the COVID-19 Crisis: Sustainability and Stability vs. Quick Digital Growth.

作者信息

Popkova Elena G, Sergi Bruno S

机构信息

Рeoples' Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University), Moscow, Russia.

Harvard University, USA and University of Messina, Messina, Italy.

出版信息

J Knowl Econ. 2023 Apr 22:1-9. doi: 10.1007/s13132-023-01156-5.

Abstract

This paper aims to model the cause-and-effect relationships between the world economy's digital development and sustainable living. A broad selection of developed and developing countries examines what the world economy would have looked like without the crisis in 2020. Drawing on whether the virus is swept off or merely reduced, the dataset contains a forecast of the world economy for 2022. Being aware of alternative scenarios can be helpful in a wide range of scientific studies. The practical implications of the results of the scenario analysis consist in them allowing for the assessment of opportunities to overcome the COVID-19 viral threat with the help of vaccination.

摘要

本文旨在模拟世界经济数字发展与可持续生活之间的因果关系。通过广泛选取发达国家和发展中国家,研究了如果没有2020年的危机,世界经济会是什么样子。根据病毒是被消除还是仅仅得到缓解,该数据集包含了对2022年世界经济的预测。了解替代情景在广泛的科学研究中可能会有所帮助。情景分析结果的实际意义在于,它们有助于评估通过接种疫苗来克服新冠病毒威胁的机会。

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