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急性心肌梗死死亡率的预测因素:来自医疗保健成本与利用项目(HCUP)全国再入院数据库的见解

Predictors of Mortality in Acute Myocardial Infarction: Insights From the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) Nationwide Readmission Database.

作者信息

Prasad Jalaja Priji, Kommineni Dheeraj, Mishra Aashish, Tumati Ramakrishna, Anna Joseph Chrishanti, Veer Samara Sihman Bharattej Rupavath Rana

机构信息

Surgery, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, USA.

Systems Analytics, Hanker Systems, Chantilly, USA.

出版信息

Cureus. 2025 May 7;17(5):e83675. doi: 10.7759/cureus.83675. eCollection 2025 May.

Abstract

Background Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) remains a significant concern for morbidity and mortality globally. Understanding AMI-related mortality predictors can help mitigate risks and improve patient outcomes. This study was conducted to evaluate demographic, clinical, and institutional factors associated with in-hospital mortality among patients admitted for AMI. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted using the 2020 Nationwide Readmission Database (NRD). Adult patients (≥18 years) with a primary diagnosis of AMI were included. COVID-19 co-infection was identified via secondary diagnoses. Exclusion criteria comprised missing mortality data. Patient demographics, comorbidities, and hospital characteristics were analyzed. A survey-weighted multivariable logistic regression, incorporating discharge weights, stratification, and clustering, was used to estimate odds ratios (OR) for 30-day all-cause mortality (death during index admission or within 30-day unplanned readmission), adjusting for the above covariates, including COVID-19 status. Results Of 1,193,046 AMI admissions, 127,128 (10.7%) died within 30 days. Median age was 75 (65-83) years among non-survivors compared to 69 (59-79) years in survivors. Key multivariable predictors of higher mortality included All Patients Refined Diagnosis-Related Group (APR-DRG) "extreme" severity (OR 3.82, p < 0.001), cardiac arrest (OR 7.03, p < 0.001), cardiogenic shock (OR 1.52, p < 0.001), acute kidney injury (OR 1.82, p < 0.001), and COVID-19 co-infection (OR 2.51, p < 0.001). Institutional factors such as treatment at micropolitan hospitals (OR 1.72, p < 0.001) and self-pay status (OR 1.24, p < 0.001) also increased risk, with additional categories for Medicare, Medicaid, and private payers examined. Conclusion In conclusion, predictors of mortality in AMI patients include baseline characteristics such as age and gender, comorbidities like heart failure and cardiac arrest, socioeconomic factors, and the impact of COVID-19. Future studies should explore patient-level race/ethnicity and education data, assess vaccination effects, and develop targeted interventions to reduce these disparities.

摘要

背景

急性心肌梗死(AMI)仍是全球发病率和死亡率的重大关注点。了解与AMI相关的死亡预测因素有助于降低风险并改善患者预后。本研究旨在评估因AMI入院患者的人口统计学、临床和机构因素与院内死亡率的相关性。

方法

使用2020年全国再入院数据库(NRD)进行回顾性分析。纳入主要诊断为AMI的成年患者(≥18岁)。通过次要诊断确定是否合并COVID-19感染。排除标准包括缺失死亡率数据。分析患者的人口统计学、合并症和医院特征。采用纳入出院权重、分层和聚类的调查加权多变量逻辑回归,估计30天全因死亡率(指数住院期间或30天内非计划再入院期间死亡)的比值比(OR),并对上述协变量进行调整,包括COVID-19状态。

结果

在1193046例AMI入院患者中,127128例(10.7%)在30天内死亡。非幸存者的中位年龄为75(65 - 83)岁,而幸存者为69(59 - 79)岁。死亡率较高的关键多变量预测因素包括所有患者精细诊断相关组(APR - DRG)“极高”严重程度(OR 3.82,p < 0.001)、心脏骤停(OR 7.03,p < 0.001)、心源性休克(OR 1.52,p < 0.001)、急性肾损伤(OR 1.82,p < 0.001)以及合并COVID-19感染(OR 2.51,p < 0.001)。机构因素如在小城市医院接受治疗(OR 1.72,p < 0.001)和自费状态(OR 1.24,p < 0.001)也增加了风险,还对医疗保险、医疗补助和私人支付者的其他类别进行了研究。

结论

总之,AMI患者的死亡预测因素包括年龄和性别等基线特征、心力衰竭和心脏骤停等合并症、社会经济因素以及COVID-19的影响。未来的研究应探索患者层面的种族/民族和教育数据,评估疫苗接种效果,并制定有针对性的干预措施以减少这些差异。

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