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人工智能心电图警报系统的经济分析:一项实用随机试验对死亡率结果的影响。

Economic analysis of an AI-enabled ECG alert system: impact on mortality outcomes from a pragmatic randomized trial.

作者信息

Hsieh Ping-Hsuan, Lin Chin, Lin Chin-Sheng, Liu Wei-Ting, Lin Tsung-Kun, Tsai Dung-Jang, Hung Yi-Jen, Chen Yuan-Hao, Lin Chih-Yuan, Lin Shih-Hua, Tsai Chien-Sung

机构信息

School of Pharmacy, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei, Taiwan, ROC.

School of Medicine, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei, Taiwan, ROC.

出版信息

NPJ Digit Med. 2025 Jun 11;8(1):348. doi: 10.1038/s41746-025-01735-7.

DOI:10.1038/s41746-025-01735-7
PMID:40494963
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12152136/
Abstract

Findings from a previous study (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT05118035) demonstrated that an AI-enabled electrocardiogram (AI-ECG), combining AI reports and physician alerts, effectively identified hospitalized patients at high risk of mortality and reduced all-cause mortality. This study evaluates its cost-effectiveness from the health payer's perspective in Taiwan over a 90-day post-intervention period. Cost data were obtained from electronic health records of participating hospitals, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per death averted were calculated. Non-parametric bootstrap techniques were used to address uncertainty. Among 15,965 patients, 90-day all-cause mortality was 3.6% in the intervention group versus 4.3% in controls. Medication and ICU costs were higher in the AI-ECG group, but overall medical cost was similar ($6204 vs. $5803). The ICER was $59,500 (95% CI: $-4657 to $385,950) per death averted. The cost-effectiveness acceptability curve showed that 95% of the probability mass lies below a willingness-to-pay threshold of $409,321, supporting favorable cost-effectiveness despite uncertainty.

摘要

先前一项研究(ClinicalTrials.gov:NCT05118035)的结果表明,一种结合人工智能报告和医生警报的人工智能心电图(AI-ECG)能够有效识别住院的高死亡风险患者,并降低全因死亡率。本研究从台湾地区医疗支付方的角度评估了其在干预后90天内的成本效益。成本数据来自参与研究医院的电子健康记录,并计算了每避免一例死亡的增量成本效益比(ICER)。采用非参数自助法来处理不确定性。在15965名患者中,干预组90天全因死亡率为3.6%,对照组为4.3%。AI-ECG组的药物和重症监护病房成本较高,但总体医疗成本相似(6204美元对5803美元)。每避免一例死亡的ICER为59500美元(95%CI:-4657美元至385950美元)。成本效益可接受性曲线显示,95%的概率质量位于409321美元的支付意愿阈值以下,这表明尽管存在不确定性,但成本效益仍较为可观。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6079/12152136/2cf67d9f7e07/41746_2025_1735_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6079/12152136/9814b8dfb9d4/41746_2025_1735_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6079/12152136/389a3e33647c/41746_2025_1735_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6079/12152136/2cf67d9f7e07/41746_2025_1735_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6079/12152136/9814b8dfb9d4/41746_2025_1735_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6079/12152136/389a3e33647c/41746_2025_1735_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6079/12152136/2cf67d9f7e07/41746_2025_1735_Fig3_HTML.jpg

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Nat Med. 2024 May;30(5):1461-1470. doi: 10.1038/s41591-024-02961-4. Epub 2024 Apr 29.
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