Fan Min, Stephan Anna-Janina, Hanselmann Michael, Lueg Andreas, Laxy Michael
TUM School of Medicine and Health, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Munich Center of Health Economics and Policy, Munich, Germany.
Appl Health Econ Health Policy. 2025 Jun 18. doi: 10.1007/s40258-025-00978-5.
The aim of this study was to analyse the real-world health and economic effect of an outpatient screening and continuing-care programme for early detection and care of microvascular complications in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) delivered through a selective contract between a large statutory health insurance company and ambulatory care physicians in the German health care system.
Building on methods of target trial emulation and programme impact evaluation, we used a quasi-experimental approach and health insurance claims data from 790,375 patients with T2D over a time horizon of 5.75 years. We applied a two-stage matching approach in which we exploited the staggered implementation of the selective contract across federal states in Germany to control for selection bias at the physician level and used propensity scores to control for selection bias at the patient level, where we considered socio-demographic, health consciousness-related, care-related, and comorbidity-related potential confounders in the matching process.
Within a matched sample of 16,490 patients, over 1 year, enrolment into the programme increased the number of visits to primary care physicians (relative risk [RR]: 1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07, 1.10), increased the frequency of prescriptions for sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors (RR: 1.30, 95% CI 1.12, 1.50) and for statins (RR: 1.08, 95% CI 1.03, 1.13) and decreased the risk of hospitalisations (RR: 0.88, 95% CI 0.84, 0.92). Outpatient costs in the enrolled patients were on average 14% (cost ratio: 1.14, 95% CI 1.09, 1.20) or €194.4 higher, but overall, the programme was budget neutral over a time horizon of 1 year.
Investing in secondary prevention to detect and manage the early stages of microvascular complications is likely a cost-effective or cost-saving approach to improve health in patients with T2D.
本研究旨在分析通过德国医疗体系中一家大型法定健康保险公司与门诊护理医生之间的选择性合同实施的2型糖尿病(T2D)患者微血管并发症早期检测和持续护理门诊筛查与护理计划的实际健康和经济影响。
基于目标试验模拟和项目影响评估方法,我们采用了准实验方法,并使用了790375例T2D患者在5.75年时间范围内的健康保险理赔数据。我们应用了两阶段匹配方法,利用德国联邦各州选择性合同的交错实施来控制医生层面的选择偏倚,并使用倾向得分来控制患者层面的选择偏倚,在匹配过程中我们考虑了社会人口统计学、健康意识相关、护理相关和合并症相关的潜在混杂因素。
在16490例匹配患者样本中,在1年时间里,参与该计划增加了初级护理医生的就诊次数(相对风险[RR]:1.09,95%置信区间[CI]1.07,1.10),增加了钠-葡萄糖协同转运蛋白2(SGLT2)抑制剂(RR:1.30,95%CI 1.12,1.50)和他汀类药物(RR:1.08,95%CI 1.03,1.13)的处方频率,并降低了住院风险(RR:0.88,95%CI 0.84,0.92)。参与计划患者的门诊费用平均高出14%(成本比:1.14,95%CI 1.09,1.20)或194.4欧元,但总体而言,该计划在1年时间范围内预算平衡。
投资于二级预防以检测和管理微血管并发症的早期阶段可能是改善T2D患者健康的一种具有成本效益或节省成本的方法。