Hu Can, Xia Yingda, Zheng Zhilin, Cao Mengxuan, Zheng Guoliang, Chen Shangqi, Sun Jiancheng, Chen Wujie, Zheng Qi, Pan Siwei, Zhang Yanqiang, Chen Jiahui, Yu Pengfei, Xu Jingli, Xu Jianwei, Qiu Zhongwei, Lin Tiancheng, Yun Boxiang, Yao Jiawen, Guo Wenchao, Gao Chen, Kong Xianghui, Chen Keda, Wen Zhengle, Zhu Guanxia, Qiao Jinfang, Pan Yibo, Li Huan, Gong Xijun, Ye Zaisheng, Ao Weiqun, Zhang Lei, Yan Xing, Tong Yahan, Yang Xinxin, Zheng Xiaozhong, Fan Shufeng, Cao Jielu, Yan Cheng, Xie Kangjie, Zhang Shengjie, Wang Yao, Zheng Lin, Wu Yingjie, Ge Zufeng, Tian Xiyuan, Zhang Xin, Wang Yan, Zhang Ruolan, Wei Yizhou, Zhu Weiwei, Zhang Jianfeng, Qiu Hanjun, Su Miaoguang, Shi Lei, Xu Zhiyuan, Zhang Ling, Cheng Xiangdong
Department of Gastric Surgery, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, China.
Zhejiang Provincial Research Center for Upper Gastrointestinal Tract Cancer, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou, China.
Nat Med. 2025 Jun 24. doi: 10.1038/s41591-025-03785-6.
Early detection through screening is critical for reducing gastric cancer (GC) mortality. However, in most high-prevalence regions, large-scale screening remains challenging due to limited resources, low compliance and suboptimal detection rate of upper endoscopic screening. Therefore, there is an urgent need for more efficient screening protocols. Noncontrast computed tomography (CT), routinely performed for clinical purposes, presents a promising avenue for large-scale designed or opportunistic screening. Here we developed the Gastric Cancer Risk Assessment Procedure with Artificial Intelligence (GRAPE), leveraging noncontrast CT and deep learning to identify GC. Our study comprised three phases. First, we developed GRAPE using a cohort from 2 centers in China (3,470 GC and 3,250 non-GC cases) and validated its performance on an internal validation set (1,298 cases, area under curve = 0.970) and an independent external cohort from 16 centers (18,160 cases, area under curve = 0.927). Subgroup analysis showed that the detection rate of GRAPE increased with advancing T stage but was independent of tumor location. Next, we compared the interpretations of GRAPE with those of radiologists and assessed its potential in assisting diagnostic interpretation. Reader studies demonstrated that GRAPE significantly outperformed radiologists, improving sensitivity by 21.8% and specificity by 14.0%, particularly in early-stage GC. Finally, we evaluated GRAPE in real-world opportunistic screening using 78,593 consecutive noncontrast CT scans from a comprehensive cancer center and 2 independent regional hospitals. GRAPE identified persons at high risk with GC detection rates of 24.5% and 17.7% in 2 regional hospitals, with 23.2% and 26.8% of detected cases in T1/T2 stage. Additionally, GRAPE detected GC cases that radiologists had initially missed, enabling earlier diagnosis of GC during follow-up for other diseases. In conclusion, GRAPE demonstrates strong potential for large-scale GC screening, offering a feasible and effective approach for early detection. ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT06614179 .
通过筛查实现早期检测对于降低胃癌(GC)死亡率至关重要。然而,在大多数高发病率地区,由于资源有限、依从性低以及上消化道内镜筛查的检出率不理想,大规模筛查仍然具有挑战性。因此,迫切需要更有效的筛查方案。非增强计算机断层扫描(CT)常用于临床目的,为大规模设计筛查或机会性筛查提供了一条有前景的途径。在此,我们开发了基于人工智能的胃癌风险评估程序(GRAPE),利用非增强CT和深度学习来识别胃癌。我们的研究包括三个阶段。首先,我们使用来自中国2个中心的队列(3470例胃癌和3250例非胃癌病例)开发了GRAPE,并在内部验证集(1298例,曲线下面积=0.970)和来自16个中心的独立外部队列(18160例,曲线下面积=0.927)上验证了其性能。亚组分析表明,GRAPE的检出率随T分期进展而增加,但与肿瘤位置无关。接下来,我们将GRAPE的解读与放射科医生的解读进行比较,并评估其在辅助诊断解读方面的潜力。阅片研究表明,GRAPE明显优于放射科医生,敏感性提高了21.8%,特异性提高了14.0%,尤其是在早期胃癌中。最后,我们使用来自一家综合癌症中心和2家独立地区医院的78593例连续非增强CT扫描,在实际的机会性筛查中评估了GRAPE。GRAPE在2家地区医院识别出高风险胃癌患者,检出率分别为24.5%和17.7%,其中23.2%和26.8%的检出病例处于T1/T2期。此外,GRAPE检测出了放射科医生最初漏诊的胃癌病例,使得在对其他疾病进行随访期间能够更早地诊断胃癌。总之,GRAPE在大规模胃癌筛查中显示出强大的潜力,为早期检测提供了一种可行且有效的方法。ClinicalTrials.gov注册号:NCT06614179 。