Suppr超能文献

列线图模型在预测经皮冠状动脉介入治疗术后谵妄中的应用

Application of a Nomogram Model in Predicting Postoperative Delirium Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

作者信息

Xiong Yaxin, Meng Ze, Sun Jiuyue, Qi Yucheng, Wang Kuo, Huang Ping, Yang Qiuyue, Fan Renliang, Guan Jiaman, Zhao Mingyan, Meng Xianglin

机构信息

Department of Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin Medical University, Harbin 150001, China.

Heilongjiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin Medical University, Harbin 150001, China.

出版信息

Bioengineering (Basel). 2025 Jun 11;12(6):637. doi: 10.3390/bioengineering12060637.

Abstract

: Postoperative delirium is associated with an increased number of different complications, such as prolonged hospital stay, long-term cognitive impairment, and increased mortality. Therefore, early prediction of delirium after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is necessary, but currently, there is still a lack of reliable and effective prediction models for such patients. : All data used in this study were derived from the MIMIC-IV database. Multivariable Cox regression was employed to analyze the data, and the performance of the newly developed nomogram was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The clinical value of the prediction model was tested using decision curve analysis (DCA). : A total of 313 PCI patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) were included in the analysis, comprising 219 in the training cohort and 94 in the testing cohort. Twenty variables were selected for model development. Multivariable Cox regression revealed that benzodiazepine use, vasoactive drug therapy, age, white blood cell count (WBC), and serum potassium were independent risk factors for predicting the occurrence of delirium after PCI. The AUC values for predicting delirium occurrence in the training and validation cohorts were 0.771 and 0.743, respectively. : This study has identified several important demographic and laboratory parameters associated with the occurrence of delirium after PCI, and used them to establish a more accurate and convenient nomogram model to predict the occurrence of postoperative delirium in such patients.

摘要

术后谵妄与多种不同并发症的增加相关,如住院时间延长、长期认知障碍和死亡率增加。因此,经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)后谵妄的早期预测是必要的,但目前,此类患者仍缺乏可靠有效的预测模型。本研究中使用的所有数据均来自MIMIC-IV数据库。采用多变量Cox回归分析数据,并基于受试者操作特征曲线(AUC)下的面积评估新开发的列线图的性能。使用决策曲线分析(DCA)测试预测模型的临床价值。分析共纳入313例重症监护病房(ICU)的PCI患者,其中训练队列219例,测试队列94例。选择20个变量用于模型开发。多变量Cox回归显示,苯二氮䓬类药物的使用、血管活性药物治疗、年龄、白细胞计数(WBC)和血清钾是预测PCI后谵妄发生的独立危险因素。训练队列和验证队列中预测谵妄发生的AUC值分别为0.771和0.743。本研究确定了几个与PCI后谵妄发生相关的重要人口统计学和实验室参数,并利用它们建立了一个更准确、方便的列线图模型,以预测此类患者术后谵妄的发生。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/214d/12189321/6e9257396aab/bioengineering-12-00637-g001.jpg

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法,用中文像聊天一样搜索,搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐,让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版,准确专业,支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式,支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述,25分钟生成高质量综述,智能提取关键信息,辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验