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谁与谁结婚以及生育二孩的意愿:以家庭决策权为中介因素

Who marries whom and intentions for second child: Using family decision-making power as mediator.

作者信息

Dang Yuan, Liu Xin

机构信息

Department of Sociology, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Jun 26;20(6):e0326733. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0326733. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

Interest in exploring fertility intentions, decisions, or the actual number of children through the perspective of assortative mating has been increasing; however, the mechanisms linking these variables remain unclear. Existing studies have shown that gaps in socio-economic resources between spouses shape intra-household decision-making patterns. Individuals who have the final-say power over homemaking exhibit more bargaining power in family fertility decisions. Based on the 2014 China Family Panel Studies, this research used latent class analysis to obtain the intra-household decision-making variable. A generalized structural equation model was built to examine this potential mediator. The findings reveal that family decision-making power helps to elucidate the relationship between the patterns of assortative mating and fertility intentions. Differences in couples' educational attainment are a key aspect in assessing "who" is in charge of the household. The desire for a second child was greater if husbands had the final say. Participants in marriages where wives held decision-making power reported a lower willingness to have a second child. The mediation effects of "husband-dominated" or "wife-dominated" decision-making were confirmed in hypergamous marriage. Indirect-only mediating effects were found in mid-educated homogamous partnerships and hypogamous marriages. Suppression effects were present in educational homogamy among highly educated individuals.

摘要

通过 assortative mating 的视角来探究生育意愿、生育决策或实际子女数量的研究兴趣日益浓厚;然而,连接这些变量的机制仍不明确。现有研究表明,配偶之间社会经济资源的差距塑造了家庭内部的决策模式。在家务决策上拥有最终决定权的个体在家庭生育决策中展现出更大的议价能力。基于 2014 年中国家庭追踪调查,本研究采用潜在类别分析来获取家庭内部决策变量。构建了一个广义结构方程模型来检验这一潜在中介变量。研究结果表明,家庭决策权有助于阐明 assortative mating 模式与生育意愿之间的关系。夫妻教育程度的差异是评估“谁”掌管家庭的一个关键方面。如果丈夫拥有最终决定权,生育二孩的意愿更高。在妻子拥有决策权的婚姻中,参与者生育二孩的意愿较低。在攀附婚姻中证实了“丈夫主导”或“妻子主导”决策的中介效应。在中等教育程度的同配婚姻和下嫁婚姻中发现了仅间接的中介效应。在高学历个体的教育同配中存在抑制效应。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e506/12201641/cdf713e0d1f4/pone.0326733.g001.jpg

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