[黄河流域生态系统服务供需变化及驱动因素]
[Changes and Driving Factors of Ecosystem Services Supply and Demand in the Yellow River Basin].
作者信息
Gai Ying-Ying, Zhao Heng, Wang Fu-Qiang
机构信息
School of Water Resources, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450046, China.
Henan Key Laboratory of Water Resources Conservation and Intensive Utilization in the Yellow River Basin, Zhengzhou 450046, China.
出版信息
Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2025 Jun 8;46(6):3672-3680. doi: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202404237.
Ecosystem services are closely linked to human sustainable development. Studying the supply-demand characteristics of ecosystem services in the research area and identifying their main driving factors are crucial prerequisites for effectively allocating ecological resources and ensuring regional ecological security. The InVEST model was employed to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution and supply-demand matching of water conservation, carbon sequestration and oxygen release, and habitat quality services in the Yellow River Basin from 2001 to 2021. Additionally, a geodetector model based on optimal parameters was used for driving factor analysis. The results indicate: ① Compared to 2001, the supply of water conservation, carbon sequestration and oxygen release, and habitat quality services increased in 2021. Spatially, carbon sequestration and oxygen release services exhibited similar distributions, while water conservation services showed irregular distribution patterns influenced by factors like precipitation and evapotranspiration. ② The spatial distribution of demand for ecosystem services was generally consistent: higher demand in the middle and lower reaches of the basin and lower demand in the upstream river sources, with a fluctuating increasing trend. ③ At the grid scale, the spatial distribution of water conservation, carbon sequestration and oxygen release, and habitat quality services showed characteristics of uneven supply-demand relationships and significant regional differences. At the provincial scale, the supply-demand relationship for water conservation and habitat quality services was relatively balanced overall, with supply generally exceeding demand. However, the supply-demand index for carbon sequestration services showed a continuous declining trend, highlighting prominent supply-demand contradictions. ④ The supply side of ecosystem services was heavily influenced by natural factors, while the demand side was primarily affected by human activities and socio-economic development. Increasing population density and GDP density contributed to the demand for ecosystem services, thereby inhibiting the balance between supply and demand, which is a key influencing factor for ecosystem service supply-demand ratios. The research findings can provide a reference basis for establishing ecological compensation mechanisms in the Yellow River Basin.
生态系统服务与人类可持续发展密切相关。研究研究区域内生态系统服务的供需特征并确定其主要驱动因素,是有效配置生态资源和确保区域生态安全的关键前提。运用InVEST模型分析了2001年至2021年黄河流域水源涵养、固碳释氧和栖息地质量服务的时空演变及供需匹配情况。此外,采用基于最优参数的地理探测器模型进行驱动因素分析。结果表明:①与2001年相比,2021年水源涵养、固碳释氧和栖息地质量服务的供给增加。在空间上,固碳释氧服务呈现相似的分布,而水源涵养服务受降水和蒸散等因素影响呈现不规则分布格局。②生态系统服务需求的空间分布总体一致:流域中下游需求较高,上游河源区需求较低,且呈波动上升趋势。③在网格尺度上,水源涵养、固碳释氧和栖息地质量服务的空间分布呈现供需关系不均衡和区域差异显著的特征。在省级尺度上,水源涵养和栖息地质量服务的供需关系总体相对平衡,供给普遍大于需求。然而,固碳服务的供需指数呈持续下降趋势,凸显了突出的供需矛盾。④生态系统服务的供给侧受自然因素影响较大,而需求侧主要受人类活动和社会经济发展影响。人口密度和GDP密度的增加导致了对生态系统服务的需求,从而抑制了供需平衡,这是影响生态系统服务供需比的关键因素。研究结果可为黄河流域建立生态补偿机制提供参考依据。