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卫星重力测量观测到的重静力海平面变化:1993 - 2022年

Barystatic sea level change observed by satellite gravimetry: 1993-2022.

作者信息

Nie Yufeng, Chen Jianli, Xu Guodong, Löcher Anno

机构信息

Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China.

Research Institute for Land and Space, PolyU Academy for Interdisciplinary Research, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China.

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2025 Jul 8;122(27):e2425248122. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2425248122. Epub 2025 Jun 30.

Abstract

Using time-variable gravity fields determined from satellite laser ranging (SLR) and the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO), we derive three decades of barystatic sea level (BSL) change estimates since 1993, providing a long record of satellite gravimetry-based BSL estimates comparable in duration to satellite altimetry. Over the 1993-2022 altimetry era, the BSL change rate is 1.75 ± 0.59 mm/y (2σ) as observed by SLR. The rate increases to 2.16 ± 0.59 mm/y (SLR) and 2.13 ± 0.38 mm/y (GRACE/-FO) over 2003-2022, mainly due to accelerated ice loss in Greenland since the 2000s. The remarkable agreement between SLR and GRACE/-FO estimates over the joint period cross-validates each other, suggesting that both work well in monitoring BSL changes. We also compare our satellite gravimetry estimates with the sum of individual mass change components (ice sheets, glaciers, and land water storage) obtained from multisource datasets (in situ, remote sensing and geophysical modeling). The differences are within 0.2 mm/y over the three decades, highlighting the global consistency of different techniques for observing Earth's surface mass changes. Moreover, we reconcile the global mean sea level (GMSL) rise budget using reprocessed altimetry data and updated thermosteric sea level ensembles. From 1993 to 2022, the sum of thermosteric and SLR-based barystatic contributions (3.16 ± 0.64 mm/y) agrees well with altimetry-observed GMSL rate (3.22 ± 0.28 mm/y), suggesting that the GMSL rise budget can be closed within uncertainties over the last three decades.

摘要

利用由卫星激光测距(SLR)以及重力恢复与气候实验(GRACE)和GRACE后续任务(GRACE-FO)确定的时变重力场,我们得出了自1993年以来三十年的重静力海平面(BSL)变化估计值,提供了一份基于卫星重力测量的BSL估计值的长期记录,其持续时间与卫星测高相当。在1993 - 2022年的测高时代,SLR观测到的BSL变化率为1.75±0.59毫米/年(2σ)。在2003 - 2022年期间,该速率增至2.16±0.59毫米/年(SLR)和2.13±0.38毫米/年(GRACE/-FO),主要是由于21世纪以来格陵兰岛冰损失加速。在联合期间,SLR和GRACE/-FO估计值之间的显著一致性相互交叉验证,表明两者在监测BSL变化方面都表现良好。我们还将基于卫星重力测量的估计值与从多源数据集(实地、遥感和地球物理建模)获得的各个质量变化分量(冰盖、冰川和陆地水储量)之和进行了比较。在三十年期间,差异在0.2毫米/年以内,突出了不同技术在观测地球表面质量变化方面的全球一致性。此外,我们使用重新处理的测高数据和更新的热比容海平面集合来协调全球平均海平面(GMSL)上升预算。从1993年到2022年,热比容和基于SLR的重静力贡献之和(3.16±0.64毫米/年)与测高观测到的GMSL速率(3.22±0.28毫米/年)吻合良好,表明在过去三十年中,GMSL上升预算在不确定性范围内可以闭合。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eac4/12260393/e777f359c2e3/pnas.2425248122fig01.jpg

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