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从数量-质量视角看绿色技术创新对中国大河流域空气污染的影响

The effect of green technology innovation on air pollution from a quantity-quality perspective in China's large river basins.

作者信息

Qi Guangzhi, Wang Zhibao, Teng Chao, Zhao Jinli, Cheng Yu, Wang Chengxin

机构信息

College of Geography and Environment, Shandong Normal University, Jinan, China.

Key Research Institute of Yellow River Civilization and Sustainable Development and Collaborative Innovation Center on Yellow River Civilization, Henan University, Kaifeng, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jul 2;15(1):22755. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-08230-9.

Abstract

Green technology innovation (GTI) plays a crucial role in promoting regional sustainable development, yet its mechanisms for mitigating air pollution remain insufficiently explored. This study investigates the spatio-temporal dynamics and spatial correlations of GTI and air pollution across China's major river basins, with a particular focus on differentiating the roles of GTI quantity and quality. Using the extended STIRPAT and spatial Durbin models, we examine nonlinear relationships, basin-specific heterogeneity, and spatial spillover effects. Results show that GTI quantity followed a core-periphery diffusion pattern, while GTI quality exhibited fluctuating trends with recent stabilization. An inverted "U" shaped relationship was observed between both GTI dimensions and PM and PM concentrations, locally and in neighboring areas. Notably, inflection points for GTI quantity lagged behind those for quality, and post-inflection pollution-reduction effects differed across basins-being stronger in the Yangtze River Basin for PM, but in the Yellow River Basin for PM. These findings highlight the differentiated mechanisms through which GTI affects air quality, offering valuable insights for targeted innovation policies and regional coordination in sustainable governance.

摘要

绿色技术创新(GTI)在促进区域可持续发展中发挥着关键作用,但其减轻空气污染的机制仍未得到充分探索。本研究调查了中国主要流域GTI与空气污染的时空动态及空间相关性,特别关注区分GTI数量和质量的作用。利用扩展的STIRPAT模型和空间杜宾模型,我们检验了非线性关系、流域特定异质性和空间溢出效应。结果表明,GTI数量遵循核心-边缘扩散模式,而GTI质量呈现波动趋势且近期趋于稳定。在GTI的两个维度与PM和PM浓度之间,在本地和邻近地区均观察到倒“U”形关系。值得注意的是,GTI数量的拐点滞后于质量的拐点,且拐点后的污染减排效应因流域而异——对于PM而言,长江流域更强,而对于PM而言,黄河流域更强。这些发现突出了GTI影响空气质量的差异化机制,为可持续治理中的针对性创新政策和区域协调提供了有价值的见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/42ca/12215305/23956665359c/41598_2025_8230_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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