Cheng Yan, Zhang Zhisheng, Hu Lian, Duan Xin
School of Finance and Public Administration, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu, 233000, China.
School of Finance and Business, Zhongshan Torch Polytechnic, Zhongshan, 528400, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Jul 1;15(1):20438. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-05330-4.
Scientific analysis of the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) development on urban low-carbon transformation has substantial practical implications for better fostering the development of AI and high-quality urbanization. Based on the panel data of 226 cities in China from 2012 to 2022, this study first designed a comprehensive evaluation index system for the development of AI and urban low-carbon transformation. Secondly, the entropy weight-TOPSIS method and the super-efficiency SBM model were used to measure the development level of AI and the efficiency of urban low-carbon transformation respectively. Then, a fixed effect model and a spatial Durbin model were constructed to explore the impact of AI development on urban low-carbon transformation. The following research findings were obtained: First, China's AI development level and urban low-carbon transformation efficiency are both generally growing. Specifically, the former increased from 0.0423 in 2012 to 0.0952 in 2022, while the latter increased from 1.0404 in 2012 to 1.3662 in 2022. Second, the development of AI has a significant positive role in promoting the low-carbon transformation of cities. Third, AI development has a pronounced positive effect on urban low-carbon transformation in China's eastern and western regions, while no significant effect is observed in the central region; the development of AI in non-sub-provincial capital cities and general prefecture-level cities contributes to promoting the low-carbon transformation of cities, while the development of AI in municipalities directly under the Central Government and sub-provincial cities has no significant effect on the low-carbon transformation of cities; the development of AI in resource-based cities and non-resource-based cities has a significant promoting effect on the efficiency of low-carbon transformation. Fourth, the development of AI has a strong spatial association with the low-carbon transformation of cities. Finally, based on these findings, targeted policy suggestions were put forward to better leverage the role of artificial intelligence in the low-carbon transformation of cities.
科学分析人工智能(AI)发展对城市低碳转型的影响,对于更好地促进人工智能发展和高质量城市化具有重大现实意义。基于2012年至2022年中国226个城市的面板数据,本研究首先设计了人工智能发展和城市低碳转型的综合评价指标体系。其次,运用熵权 - TOPSIS法和超效率SBM模型分别测度人工智能发展水平和城市低碳转型效率。然后,构建固定效应模型和空间杜宾模型,探究人工智能发展对城市低碳转型的影响。得到以下研究结果:第一,中国人工智能发展水平和城市低碳转型效率总体均呈增长态势。具体而言,前者从2012年的0.0423增长至2022年的0.0952,后者从2012年的1.0404增长至2022年的1.3662。第二,人工智能发展对城市低碳转型具有显著的正向促进作用。第三,人工智能发展对中国东部和西部地区的城市低碳转型有显著正向影响,而中部地区未观察到显著影响;非省级省会城市和普通地级市的人工智能发展有助于促进城市低碳转型,而直辖市和副省级城市的人工智能发展对城市低碳转型无显著影响;资源型城市和非资源型城市的人工智能发展对低碳转型效率均有显著促进作用。第四,人工智能发展与城市低碳转型具有较强的空间关联。最后,基于这些研究结果,提出了针对性的政策建议,以更好地发挥人工智能在城市低碳转型中的作用。