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用于儿童期起病系统性红斑狼疮诊断的名为莫尔加夫的闭路人工智能模型。

Closed circuit artificial ıntelligence model named morgaf for childhood onset systemic lupus erythematosus diagnosis.

作者信息

Aliyev Emil, Ugur Yagizhan, Cam Veysel, Bayindir Yagmur, Unal Dilara, Balik Zeynep, Sener Seher, Bilginer Yelda, Ozen Seza

机构信息

Department of Pediatric Rheumatology, Ihsan Dogramaci Children's Hospital, Hacettepe University, Gevher Nesibe St., Hacettepe Dstr., Hacettepe Rg., 06230, Ankara, Turkey.

SEMBA Science, Education, Informatics Ltd. Co., Kaptanpasa St., Ap: 11, No: 6, F: 2, Buyukesat Dstr., Cankaya Rg., 06670, Ankara, Turkey.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jul 1;15(1):20868. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-92964-z.

Abstract

Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) is a chronic, autoimmune disease characterized by multiple organ involvement and autoantibodies, and its diagnosis is not easy in clinical practice. Pediatric SLE (pSLE) is diagnosed using the SLICC 2012 criteria for adult SLE patients. Our study aims to develop a closed computer-based AI model to assist clinicians in diagnosis. Fifty pSLE patients followed up in Hacettepe University Pediatric Rheumatology Outpatient Clinics, and 50 healthy individuals similar to them in terms of age and gender were included in the study. Data sets, including clinical and laboratory findings of the individuals at the time of diagnosis, were given as input to the AI model. Python® software language and Tensorflow® AI library were preferred for model development. The concept of neural networks (NN) is increasingly common in AI studies. Morgaf (the name of the AI model) used the recurrent neural network (RNN) model, which remembers previous inputs during training, leading to lower error rates. Patient data was digitized and used to train the model, which consists of 1024 neurons. The model's error rate decreased from 0.5 to 0.028 during training, leading to successful predictions compared to expert interpretations. Thirty case data (data utterly foreign to the model) were given to Morgaf and simultaneously to expert pediatric rheumatologists, and their interpretations were compared. Prediction success was evaluated by performing regression analyses between both groups. Morgaf accepted 70% and above as a definitive diagnosis of pSLE, averaging 93% (78-98%). It defined 10% and below for a completely healthy case; the average was 1% (0-3%). To recognize diseases requiring follow-up, he set himself a range of 10-70% and estimated the mean to be 33% (15-47%). There was no difference between Morgaf's estimates and actual diagnoses (p = 0.297). Morgaf was 100% successful in recognizing lupus disease. This rate was the same as the diagnostic understanding of clinicians. Morgaf (93.3%) gave more precise recommendations for non-lupus cases than clinicians (70%) (p = 0.034). Regression analysis showed that Morgaf (y = 0.9264xi) was more successful in non-selective prediction than clinicians (y = 0.7322xi). Our study is the first in the literature to develop and test an AI model as a diagnostic tool for pSLE. In this cohort, AI model was at least as successful as pediatric rheumatologists in differentiating pSLE patients from healthy controls and non-pSLE patients. With this study, we have shown that Morgaf may help clinicians with diagnostic and differential diagnoses.

摘要

系统性红斑狼疮(SLE)是一种慢性自身免疫性疾病,其特征为多器官受累及自身抗体,在临床实践中其诊断并不容易。儿童系统性红斑狼疮(pSLE)采用成人SLE患者的SLICC 2012标准进行诊断。我们的研究旨在开发一种基于计算机的封闭式人工智能模型,以协助临床医生进行诊断。纳入了在哈杰泰佩大学儿科风湿病门诊随访的50例pSLE患者,以及50名在年龄和性别方面与之相似的健康个体。将包括个体诊断时临床和实验室检查结果的数据集作为人工智能模型的输入。模型开发首选Python®软件语言和Tensorflow®人工智能库。神经网络(NN)的概念在人工智能研究中越来越普遍。Morgaf(人工智能模型的名称)使用循环神经网络(RNN)模型,该模型在训练过程中会记住先前的输入,从而降低错误率。患者数据被数字化并用于训练由1024个神经元组成的模型。在训练过程中,模型的错误率从0.5降至0.028,与专家的解读相比,实现了成功预测。将30例病例数据(模型完全陌生的数据)同时提供给Morgaf和儿科风湿病专家,并比较他们的解读。通过在两组之间进行回归分析来评估预测成功率。Morgaf将70%及以上接受为pSLE的确诊诊断,平均为93%(78 - 98%)。它将10%及以下定义为完全健康的病例;平均为1%(0 - 3%)。为了识别需要随访的疾病,它设定了10 - 70%的范围,并估计平均值为33%(15 - 47%)。Morgaf的估计与实际诊断之间没有差异(p = 0.297)。Morgaf在识别狼疮疾病方面成功率为100%。该比率与临床医生的诊断认知相同。Morgaf(93.3%)在非狼疮病例方面比临床医生(70%)给出了更精确的建议(p = 0.034)。回归分析表明,Morgaf(y = 0.9264xi)在非选择性预测方面比临床医生(y = 0.7322xi)更成功。我们的研究是文献中首个开发并测试作为pSLE诊断工具的人工智能模型的研究。在这个队列中,人工智能模型在区分pSLE患者与健康对照及非pSLE患者方面至少与儿科风湿病专家一样成功。通过这项研究,我们表明Morgaf可能有助于临床医生进行诊断和鉴别诊断。

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