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通过机器学习实现教育改进:提高国际学生评估项目(PISA)成绩的战略模型。

Educational improvement through machine learning: Strategic models for better PISA scores.

作者信息

Alkan Bilal Baris, Kuzucuk Serafettin, Odabasi Şevki Yetkin, Karakuş Leyla

机构信息

Department of Educational sciences, Akdeniz University, Antalya, Turkey.

Antalya Measurement and Evaluation Center Directorate, Antalya, Turkey.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Jul 2;20(7):e0326121. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0326121. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

In this study, in addition to traditional variables such as economic wealth or the number of books read, on which many studies have already been conducted, variables that are thought to influence student achievement and better predict success are identified. Random Forest algorithm was used to identify important variables based on the PISA 2018 data, covering all three domains of science, mathematics and reading. The study found that the main factors influencing the success of students in countries that perform well in the PISA exam are essentially access to information technology, weekly hours of instruction in the subject, economic-social and cultural status, parents' occupation, level of metacognition, awareness of PISA, sense of competition and attitudes towards reading. New prediction models based on these variables were proposed. The proposed models will give a significant advantage to policy makers who want to improve their country's PISA score and implement appropriate education policies.

摘要

在本研究中,除了经济财富或阅读书籍数量等传统变量(许多研究已经对这些变量进行了探讨)之外,还确定了一些被认为会影响学生成绩并能更好地预测成功的变量。基于2018年国际学生评估项目(PISA)数据,运用随机森林算法来识别重要变量,该数据涵盖科学、数学和阅读三个领域。研究发现,在PISA考试中表现出色的国家,影响学生成功的主要因素本质上包括信息技术的获取、该学科的每周授课时长、经济社会和文化地位、父母职业、元认知水平、对PISA的认知、竞争意识以及阅读态度。基于这些变量提出了新的预测模型。所提出的模型将为那些希望提高本国PISA分数并实施适当教育政策的政策制定者带来显著优势。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/87ed/12220991/d0be090cb2d8/pone.0326121.g001.jpg

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