Xue Chen, Zhu Jian, Cao Haiou, Gu Yan, Chen Siyu
State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd., Yangzhou Power Supply Company, Yangzhou, 225009, China.
State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co., Ltd., Nanjing, 210024, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Jul 2;15(1):23502. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-07402-x.
With the continuous expansion of power system scale and advancements in intelligence, the accuracy and timeliness of busbar fault diagnosis-an essential component of the power system-are crucial for ensuring the safe and stable operation of the grid. This paper presents a method for busbar fault diagnosis and analysis that combines the weighted mean of vectors (INFO) algorithm with the Random Forest (RF) model. Building on the accurate identification of busbar fault types, the method further predicts fault resistance. A simulation model of a dual-busbar power system is first established, and key electrical quantities such as differential current, bus tie current, and voltage are extracted to quantify fault features using Root Mean Square (RMS) values. The RF model is then used to predict fault types and fault resistance, with the INFO algorithm iteratively optimizing the hyperparameters of the RF model to further improve prediction accuracy. Experimental results show that the INFO-RF model achieves an accuracy of 98.472% on the test set, significantly outperforming traditional methods such as BP neural networks, GRNN, and decision trees. This method not only accurately identifies busbar fault types but also predicts fault resistance, providing strong support for fault location and maintenance in power systems.
随着电力系统规模的不断扩大和智能化的发展,母线故障诊断作为电力系统的重要组成部分,其准确性和及时性对于确保电网的安全稳定运行至关重要。本文提出了一种将向量加权均值(INFO)算法与随机森林(RF)模型相结合的母线故障诊断与分析方法。在准确识别母线故障类型的基础上,该方法进一步预测故障电阻。首先建立了双母线电力系统的仿真模型,提取差动电流、母联电流和电压等关键电气量,用均方根(RMS)值量化故障特征。然后利用RF模型预测故障类型和故障电阻,INFO算法迭代优化RF模型的超参数以进一步提高预测精度。实验结果表明,INFO-RF模型在测试集上的准确率达到98.472%,显著优于BP神经网络、广义回归神经网络(GRNN)和决策树等传统方法。该方法不仅能准确识别母线故障类型,还能预测故障电阻,为电力系统的故障定位和检修提供了有力支持。