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2000年至2021年全球非酒精性脂肪性肝病及其他代谢性疾病负担的上升

The Rising Global Burden of MASLD and Other Metabolic Diseases (2000-2021).

作者信息

Danpanichkul Pojsakorn, Suparan Kanokphong, Diaz Luis Antonio, Fallon Michael B, Chen Vincent L, Namsathimaphorn Kornnatthanai, Rakwong Krittameth, Inkongngam Torlap, Kaeosri Chuthathip, Kalligeros Markos, Wattanachayakul Phuuwadith, Ng Cheng Han, Takahashi Hirokazu, Huang Daniel Q, Muthiah Mark D, Arab Juan Pablo, Kim Donghee, White Trenton M, Noureddin Mazen, Bugianesi Elisabetta, Jepsen Peter, Wong Vincent W S, Lazarus Jeffrey V, Wijarnpreecha Karn

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center, Lubbock, Texas, USA.

Immunology Unit, Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand.

出版信息

United European Gastroenterol J. 2025 Sep;13(7):1141-1154. doi: 10.1002/ueg2.70072. Epub 2025 Jul 3.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Metabolic diseases are a public health threat to diverse populations worldwide. This study aims to update the epidemiological trends of metabolic diseases across regions and sociodemographic stratifications using the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2021.

METHODS

This study focused on metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) along with obesity, hypertension, and dyslipidemia. The prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) with their age-standardised prevalence rate and DALYs (ASPR and ASDALYs) and uncertainty intervals (UIs) were estimated and stratified by sex, geography, and the Sociodemographic Index (SDI). Epidemiological trends were analysed using the Joinpoint Regression method, which calculated the annual percent change (APC) and confidence intervals (CIs) of age-standardised rates (ASRs) from 2000 to 2021.

RESULTS

In 2021, MASLD had a prevalence of 1.27 billion people (ASPR: 15,018.07, 95% UI: 13,756.47 to 16,361.44; ASDALYs: 42.40, 95% UI: 33.60 to 53.31), while T2DM had a prevalence of 0.51 billion people (ASPR: 5885.40, 95% UI: 5467.62 to 6334.18; ASDALYs: 871.78, 95% UI: 735.05 to 1044.78) worldwide. ASPRs of MASLD and T2DM increased over the 2 decades. ASDALYs decreased over time for dyslipidemia (APC: -1.43%, 95% CI: -1.58 to -1.27%) and hypertension (APC: -1.32%, 95% CI: -1.43 to -1.21%) but increased for T2DM (APC: 1.09%, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.14%) and obesity (APC: 0.70%, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.78%), while it remained stable for MASLD. The global burden of metabolic diseases was generally higher in males compared to females. The highest ASDALYs for all these metabolic diseases were observed in low-middle SDI countries.

CONCLUSION

The global burden of MASLD and other metabolic diseases is substantial. National and global policies must better address metabolic diseases including the MASLD public health threat.

摘要

背景

代谢性疾病是对全球不同人群的公共卫生威胁。本研究旨在利用《2021年全球疾病负担研究》更新各地区和社会人口分层中代谢性疾病的流行病学趋势。

方法

本研究聚焦于代谢功能障碍相关脂肪性肝病(MASLD)、2型糖尿病(T2DM)以及肥胖、高血压和血脂异常。估计了患病率和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)及其年龄标准化患病率和DALYs(ASPR和ASDALYs)以及不确定性区间(UIs),并按性别、地理位置和社会人口指数(SDI)进行分层。使用Joinpoint回归方法分析流行病学趋势,该方法计算了2000年至2021年年龄标准化率(ASRs)的年度百分比变化(APC)和置信区间(CIs)。

结果

2021年,全球MASLD的患病率为12.7亿人(ASPR:15018.07,95%UI:13756.47至16361.44;ASDALYs:42.40,95%UI:33.60至53.31),而T2DM的患病率为5.1亿人(ASPR:5885.40,95%UI:5467.62至6334.18;ASDALYs:871.78,95%UI:735.05至1044.78)。在这20年中,MASLD和T2DM的ASPR有所增加。血脂异常(APC:-1.43%,95%CI:-1.58至-1.27%)和高血压(APC:-1.32%,95%CI:-1.43至-1.21%)的ASDALYs随时间下降,但T2DM(APC:1.09%,95%CI:1.04至1.14%)和肥胖(APC:0.70%,95%CI:0.63至0.78%)的ASDALYs增加,而MASLD的ASDALYs保持稳定。男性的全球代谢性疾病负担总体上高于女性。所有这些代谢性疾病的最高ASDALYs出现在中低SDI国家。

结论

MASLD和其他代谢性疾病的全球负担巨大。国家和全球政策必须更好地应对代谢性疾病,包括MASLD的公共卫生威胁。

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