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个性化眼科麻醉:患者特征、手术概况及麻醉方案对预后预测的回归分析

Personalized Ophthalmic Anesthesia: A Regression Analysis of Patient Characteristics, Surgical Profiles, and Anesthesia Protocols for Outcome Prediction.

作者信息

Shahzadi Iram, Fatima Summar, Ameen Samreen, Atta Asma, Atta Maryam, Batool Syeda W, Aslam Rehan, Khan Marriam

机构信息

Anesthesia, Combined Military Hospital (CMH)Sheikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al Nahyan Hospital (SKBZ) Muzaffarabad, Muzaffarabad, PAK.

Anesthesia, AI Nafees Medical College and Hospital, Isra University, Islamabad, PAK.

出版信息

Cureus. 2025 Jun 9;17(6):e85645. doi: 10.7759/cureus.85645. eCollection 2025 Jun.

DOI:10.7759/cureus.85645
PMID:40636604
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12240603/
Abstract

This study aimed to develop a predictive model for personalized ophthalmic anesthesia by combining patient demographics, surgical profiles, and anesthesia protocols. Exploratory data analysis, inferential statistics, and various machine learning techniques were applied to a synthetic dataset of 350 simulated patient records, each containing 75 clinical features. The primary outcomes included recovery time and satisfaction postoperatively. Correlation matrices, ANOVA F-values, and Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) were employed for feature selection, with a focus on both clinical relevance and statistical significance. The Random Forest model was found to outperform all other models, achieving an R² of 0.91, MAE of 0.11, and RMSE of 0.14. The most salient predictors of recovery time, identified by SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis, were surgical blood loss, body mass index (BMI), and platelet count. The dataset underwent rigorous preprocessing, including imputation, normalization, and outlier management. The non-normality of recovery time (p < 0.0001) was further confirmed by the Shapiro-Wilk test, suggesting that non-parametric methods would be appropriate. The overestimation of predictive accuracy in the synthetic data, which arises from reduced variability and idealized feature distributions, should be considered preliminary even for high-performing models. Supported the regression-based models' capability in aiding the personalized anesthesia protocol architecture design. Future projects should incorporate external validation to assess generalizability and clinical utility using external datasets from clinical settings.

摘要

本研究旨在通过整合患者人口统计学数据、手术概况和麻醉方案,开发一种用于个性化眼科麻醉的预测模型。探索性数据分析、推断统计和各种机器学习技术被应用于一个包含350条模拟患者记录的合成数据集,每条记录包含75个临床特征。主要结局包括恢复时间和术后满意度。相关矩阵、方差分析F值和递归特征消除(RFE)被用于特征选择,重点关注临床相关性和统计学意义。发现随机森林模型优于所有其他模型,R²为0.91,平均绝对误差(MAE)为0.11,均方根误差(RMSE)为0.14。通过SHAP(SHapley加性解释)分析确定的恢复时间最显著预测因素是手术失血量、体重指数(BMI)和血小板计数。该数据集经过了严格的预处理,包括插补、归一化和异常值管理。Shapiro-Wilk检验进一步证实了恢复时间的非正态性(p < 0.0001),这表明非参数方法是合适的。即使对于高性能模型,合成数据中预测准确性的高估(这是由于变异性降低和理想化的特征分布导致的)也应被视为初步结果。支持基于回归的模型在辅助个性化麻醉方案架构设计方面的能力。未来的项目应纳入外部验证,以使用来自临床环境的外部数据集评估可推广性和临床实用性。

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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20cb/12240603/757ee5bdd1d4/cureus-0017-00000085645-i01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20cb/12240603/4a6ac2e07350/cureus-0017-00000085645-i02.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20cb/12240603/c1e04e447e56/cureus-0017-00000085645-i03.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20cb/12240603/9060ebcd6fba/cureus-0017-00000085645-i04.jpg
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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20cb/12240603/88b934367b93/cureus-0017-00000085645-i06.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20cb/12240603/864203b81357/cureus-0017-00000085645-i07.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20cb/12240603/6d4dfae57866/cureus-0017-00000085645-i08.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20cb/12240603/5504ebdda5c2/cureus-0017-00000085645-i09.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20cb/12240603/be9fa7e6f0d9/cureus-0017-00000085645-i10.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20cb/12240603/c1c79b534368/cureus-0017-00000085645-i11.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20cb/12240603/56086df72eb1/cureus-0017-00000085645-i12.jpg

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