Barneveld H J, Frings R M, Mosselman E, Venditti J G, Kleinhans M G, Blom A, Schielen R M J, Toonen W H J, Meijer D, Paarlberg A J, van Denderen R P, de Jong J S, Beemster J G W, Melsen L A, Hoitink A J F
Hydrology and Environmental Hydraulics Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University and Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands.
HKV, Lelystad, the Netherlands.
Nature. 2025 Aug;644(8076):391-397. doi: 10.1038/s41586-025-09305-3. Epub 2025 Jul 10.
Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and magnitude of river floods. Floods not only cause damage by inundation and loss of life but also jeopardize infrastructure because of bank failure and riverbed erosion processes that are poorly understood. Common flood safety programmes include dyke reinforcement and river widening. The 2021 flood in the Meuse Basin caused 43 fatalities and billions of dollars of damage to infrastructure. Here, on the basis of analysis of the Meuse flood, we show how uneven widening of the river and heterogeneity of sediment deposits under the river can cause massive erosion. A recent flood safety programme widened the river, but created bottlenecks where widening was either prevented by infrastructure or not yet implemented. Riverbed erosion was exacerbated by tectonic uplift that had produced a thin top gravel layer above fine-grained sediment. Greatly enhanced flow velocities produced underwater dunes with troughs that broke through the gravel armour in the bottlenecks, exposing easily erodible sands, resulting in extreme scour holes, one more than 15 m deep. Our investigation highlights the challenges of re-engineering rivers in the face of climate change, increased flood risks and competition for river widening space, and calls for a better understanding of the subsurface.
气候变化预计会增加河流洪水的频率和规模。洪水不仅会因淹没和人员伤亡造成破坏,还会因河岸坍塌和河床侵蚀过程对基础设施构成威胁,而这些过程目前还 poorly understood(理解不足)。常见的防洪安全计划包括加固堤坝和拓宽河道。2021年默兹河流域的洪水造成43人死亡,基础设施损失达数十亿美元。在此,基于对默兹河洪水的分析,我们展示了河道的不均匀拓宽以及河底沉积物的异质性如何导致大规模侵蚀。最近的一项防洪安全计划拓宽了河道,但造成了瓶颈,在这些地方,拓宽要么被基础设施阻止,要么尚未实施。构造隆升加剧了河床侵蚀,构造隆升在细粒沉积物上方形成了一层薄薄的顶部砾石层。大大提高的流速产生了水下沙丘,其波谷在瓶颈处冲破了砾石护层,露出了易被侵蚀的沙子,导致了极深的冲刷坑,其中一个超过15米深。我们的调查凸显了在面对气候变化、洪水风险增加以及河道拓宽空间竞争时对河流进行重新设计的挑战,并呼吁更好地了解地下情况。