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长江经济带城市生态韧性时空演变特征及驱动机制

[Spatio-temporal Evolution Characteristics and Driving Mechanisms of Urban Ecological Resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt].

作者信息

Lu Fang-Yuan, Zhang Chen, Jia Tian-Yu, Huang Zhen-Fang, Xu Min

机构信息

School of Geographic Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China.

Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing 210023, China.

出版信息

Huan Jing Ke Xue. 2025 Jul 8;46(7):4592-4601. doi: 10.13227/j.hjkx.202407165.

Abstract

As key drivers of economic development and ecological governance, cities play a pivotal role in regional development. However, rapid industrialization and urbanization have brought challenges such as ecological degradation and resource shortages. Enhancing urban ecological resilience is crucial to addressing these issues. One effective approach is constructing ecological resilience assessment models. This study develops an urban ecological resilience assessment model for the Yangtze River Economic Belt, focusing on "evolutionary resilience" and based on the "resistance-adaptability-recovery" dimensions. The model assesses urban ecological resilience from 2006 to 2020. Utilizing the geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model, the study identifies the primary drivers of ecological resilience and examines their mechanisms. Key findings include: ① From 2006 to 2020, the average urban ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt increased overall, with significant regional disparities, there was a notably better performance in downstream areas compared with that in the midstream and upstream regions. ② There was a general trend of progression from lower to higher levels of urban ecological resilience, with major cities, including municipalities and provincial capitals, showing strong core polarization effects in regional development. However, many areas still exhibited low or lower levels of resilience, indicating significant room for improvement. ③ The spatiotemporal evolution of urban ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt was influenced by multiple factors, with notable contributions from technological investment, foreign trade openness, and economic level.

摘要

作为经济发展和生态治理的关键驱动力,城市在区域发展中发挥着关键作用。然而,快速的工业化和城市化带来了生态退化和资源短缺等挑战。增强城市生态韧性对于解决这些问题至关重要。一种有效的方法是构建生态韧性评估模型。本研究构建了长江经济带城市生态韧性评估模型,聚焦于“演化韧性”,并基于“抗性—适应性—恢复力”维度。该模型评估了2006年至2020年城市生态韧性。利用地理加权回归(GTWR)模型,本研究确定了生态韧性的主要驱动因素并考察了其作用机制。主要研究结果包括:①2006年至2020年,长江经济带城市生态韧性平均水平总体上升,区域差异显著,下游地区表现明显优于中游和上游地区。②城市生态韧性总体呈现由低到高的发展趋势,直辖市和省会城市等大城市在区域发展中表现出较强的核心极化效应。然而,许多地区的韧性水平仍然较低或较低,表明仍有很大的提升空间。③长江经济带城市生态韧性的时空演变受多种因素影响,技术投入、外贸开放度和经济水平贡献显著。

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