1990年至2021年全球银屑病负担的动态趋势分析:基于全球疾病负担研究(GBD)2021数据的性别、年龄和地区差异研究
Dynamic trend analysis of global psoriasis burden from 1990 to 2021: a study of gender, age, and regional differences based on GBD 2021 data.
作者信息
Xiong Jikui, Xue Tiankuo, Tong Meng, Xu Libo, Bai Bingxue
机构信息
Department of Dermatology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
出版信息
Front Public Health. 2025 Jul 9;13:1518681. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2025.1518681. eCollection 2025.
BACKGROUND
Psoriasis is a chronic immune-mediated skin disease associated with systemic comorbidities such as cardiovascular disease and depression. While genetic susceptibility, immune dysregulation, and environmental factors are known contributors, the precise etiology remains uncertain. This study uses data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD 2021) database to examine global and regional trends in psoriasis incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), analyzing differences by gender, age, and region to guide public health planning.
METHODS
Data from GBD 2021, covering 204 countries and regions, were used to estimate psoriasis incidence, prevalence, and DALYs through the DisMod-MR 2.1 model with Bayesian meta-regression to integrate multiple data sources. Annual average percentage change (AAPC) was calculated to analyze trends from 1990 to 2021, with future projections for the next 15 years based on a Bayesian age-period-cohort model.
RESULTS
From 1990 to 2021, global psoriasis prevalence increased from 23.06 million to 42.98 million (an 86% rise), and incidence grew by 80% from 2.85 million to 5.10 million cases. Psoriasis-related DALYs rose from 2 million to 3.69 million (an 85% increase). Regions with high Socio-demographic Index (SDI) values, including Western Europe, high-income North America, and Andean Latin America, exhibited significantly higher prevalence, incidence, and DALY rates compared to low-SDI regions such as East Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. The burden was marginally higher in males than females, with the largest disparities in middle-aged males (40-60 years). A positive correlation between SDI and psoriasis burden was observed, showing that higher socioeconomic regions bear a greater disease burden.
CONCLUSION
The global psoriasis burden continues to increase, particularly in high-SDI regions, where aging populations and greater healthcare access coexist. Projections indicate that psoriasis burden will rise over the next 15 years, especially among male patients. Enhanced early diagnosis, personalized treatment, and management of comorbidities are essential to reduce psoriasis's long-term health impacts and improve patient outcomes.
背景
银屑病是一种慢性免疫介导的皮肤病,与心血管疾病和抑郁症等全身性合并症相关。虽然遗传易感性、免疫失调和环境因素是已知的致病因素,但确切病因仍不确定。本研究使用全球疾病负担(GBD 2021)数据库的数据,以研究银屑病发病率、患病率和伤残调整生命年(DALY)的全球和区域趋势,分析性别、年龄和地区差异,为公共卫生规划提供指导。
方法
利用GBD 2021涵盖204个国家和地区的数据,通过DisMod-MR 2.1模型和贝叶斯元回归来整合多个数据源,以估计银屑病的发病率、患病率和DALY。计算年度平均百分比变化(AAPC)以分析1990年至2021年的趋势,并基于贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列模型对未来15年进行预测。
结果
从1990年到2021年,全球银屑病患病率从2306万增加到4298万(增长86%),发病率从285万例增加到510万例,增长了80%。与银屑病相关的DALY从200万增加到369万(增加85%)。社会人口指数(SDI)值较高的地区,包括西欧、高收入的北美和安第斯拉丁美洲,与东亚和撒哈拉以南非洲等低SDI地区相比,患病率、发病率和DALY率显著更高。男性的负担略高于女性,中年男性(40-60岁)的差异最大。观察到SDI与银屑病负担之间呈正相关,表明社会经济水平较高的地区疾病负担更大。
结论
全球银屑病负担持续增加,特别是在高SDI地区,这些地区存在老龄化人口且医疗保健可及性更高。预测表明,银屑病负担在未来15年将上升,尤其是在男性患者中。加强早期诊断、个性化治疗和合并症管理对于减少银屑病对长期健康的影响和改善患者预后至关重要。