Edwards Melissa, Elder Kenneth, Rose Allison, Tan Elizabeth, Park Allan, Nickson Carolyn, Mann G Bruce
Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, Australia.
The Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia.
Ann Surg Oncol. 2025 Jul 25. doi: 10.1245/s10434-025-17845-1.
The authors previously reported that within a patient cohort from Victoria, Australia, women who had early-stage breast cancer (ESBC) diagnosed while participating in screening [active screeners (AS), comprising both screen-detected and interval cancers] receive less intensive treatment than those not recently screened (NRS). This study reports mortality and subsequent cancer events for that cohort.
Follow-up data were collected for 766 (97.1%) of the 789 women in the original cohort (612 [79.9%] AS and 154 [20.1%] NRS), with a median follow-up time of 11.6 years (interquartile range [IQR], 9.8-13.8 years). Mortality and subsequent cancer diagnosis data were derived from linkage with the Victorian Cancer Registry. Breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS) were compared between groups, with sensitivity analyses for potential overdiagnosis and lead time bias.
The 10-years BCSS was 95.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 93.2-96.8%) for AS versus 86.4% (95% CI 79.7-91.0%) for NRS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.28; 95% CI 0.17-0.48; p < 0.001). A survival benefit persisted after adjustment for estimated overdiagnosis (HR 0.38; 95% CI 0.21-0.66; p = 0.001) and lead time bias (HR 0.33; 95% CI 0.19-0.58; p < 0.001). The 10-year OS also was superior for AS, at 90.6% (95% CI 87.9-92.7%) compared with 82.5% (95% CI 75.4-87.8%) for NRS (HR 0.54; 95% CI 0.36-0.79; p = 0.002).
Patients who have ESBC diagnosed while participating in screening experience improved BCSS and OS while receiving less intensive treatment. These findings are robust to adjustment for potential overdiagnosis and lead time bias. As treatment for ESBC becomes more tailored, with emerging opportunities for reduced treatment intensity, the benefits of screening are likely to improve further.
作者之前报告称,在来自澳大利亚维多利亚州的一个患者队列中,在参与筛查时被诊断为早期乳腺癌(ESBC)的女性[主动筛查者(AS),包括筛查发现的癌症和间期癌]接受的治疗强度低于近期未接受筛查的女性(NRS)。本研究报告了该队列的死亡率和后续癌症事件。
收集了原始队列中789名女性中的766名(97.1%)的随访数据(612名[79.9%]AS和154名[20.1%]NRS),中位随访时间为11.6年(四分位间距[IQR],9.8 - 13.8年)。死亡率和后续癌症诊断数据来自与维多利亚癌症登记处的关联。比较了两组之间的乳腺癌特异性生存率(BCSS)和总生存率(OS),并对潜在的过度诊断和领先时间偏倚进行了敏感性分析。
AS组的10年BCSS为95.4%(95%置信区间[CI],93.2 - 96.8%),而NRS组为86.4%(95%CI 79.7 - 91.0%)(风险比[HR],0.28;95%CI 0.17 - 0.48;p < 0.001)。在对估计的过度诊断(HR 0.38;95%CI 0.21 - 0.66;p = 0.001)和领先时间偏倚(HR 0.33;95%CI 0.19 - 0.58;p < 0.001)进行调整后,生存获益仍然存在。AS组的10年OS也更高,为90.6%(95%CI 87.9 - 92.7%),而NRS组为82.5%(95%CI 75.4 - 87.8%)(HR 0.54;95%CI 0.36 - 0.79;p = 0.002)。
在参与筛查时被诊断为ESBC的患者在接受强度较低的治疗时,BCSS和OS得到改善。这些发现对于潜在的过度诊断和领先时间偏倚的调整是稳健可靠的。随着ESBC的治疗变得更加个体化,降低治疗强度的新机会不断涌现,筛查的益处可能会进一步提高。