Aydin-Ghormoz Heather, Adeyeye Temilayo, Hsu Wanhsiang, Muscatiello Neil
Center for Environmental Health, New York State Department of Health, Albany, NY 12237, USA.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2025 Jul 16;22(7):1124. doi: 10.3390/ijerph22071124.
New York State (NYS) has experienced warming outpacing the national average, and heat events are increasing. This case-crossover study uses conditional logistic regression to estimate how maximum heat index affects heat-related illness across temporal, demographic, and spatial groups in NYS, from May to September, 2008-2019. The highest risks were in May (Relative Risk (RR) = 1.81, CI: 1.72, 1.90) and August (RR = 1.86, CI: 1.79, 1.94). Older adults, especially those aged 85 and above, are at greatest risk (RR = 1.83, CI: 1.71, 1.96). The Southern Tier climate region had a higher risk (RR = 1.93, CI: 1.80, 2.07) than several other regions. Overall, similar risk between rural and urban NYS was observed. Rural non-Hispanic Black (RR = 2.38, CI: 1.78, 3.19) populations had a higher risk than their urban counterparts. This study was innovative for NYS, providing a deeper understanding of heat-health risks to vulnerable sub-groups. This can assist with facilitating targeted interventions and public health messaging during the periods of highest risk, such as promoting awareness of cooling centers and air-conditioning benefits.
纽约州(NYS)的变暖速度超过全国平均水平,且高温事件不断增加。这项病例交叉研究使用条件逻辑回归来估计2008年至2019年5月至9月期间,最高热指数如何影响纽约州不同时间、人口和空间群体中与热相关的疾病。风险最高的月份是5月(相对风险(RR)=1.81,置信区间:1.72,1.90)和8月(RR = 1.86,置信区间:1.79,1.94)。老年人,尤其是85岁及以上的老年人,风险最大(RR = 1.83,置信区间:1.71,1.96)。纽约州南部气候区的风险(RR = 1.93,置信区间:1.80,2.07)高于其他几个地区。总体而言,纽约州农村和城市地区的风险相似。农村非西班牙裔黑人(RR = 2.38,置信区间:1.78,3.19)人群的风险高于城市地区的同类人群。这项研究对纽约州具有创新性,有助于更深入地了解弱势群体面临的热健康风险。这有助于在风险最高的时期推动有针对性的干预措施和公共卫生宣传,比如提高对降温中心和空调益处的认识。