美国成年人群中心血管代谢指数与全因死亡率及特定病因死亡率的关联:一项纵向队列研究。
Association of cardiometabolic index with all-cause and cause-specific mortality among U.S. adult population: A longitudinal cohort study.
作者信息
Huang Caijuan, Chen Lele
机构信息
Department of Hematology, The First Affiliated Hospital, and College of Clinical Medicine of Henan University of Science and Technology, Luoyang, China.
Department of Vascular Surgery of Xincai County People's Hospital, Zhumadian, China.
出版信息
Medicine (Baltimore). 2025 Jul 25;104(30):e43532. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000043532.
Currently, although some studies have explored the association between the cardiometabolic index (CMI) and mortality, for the adult population in the United States, detailed and systematic research on the link between CMI and both all-cause and cause-specific mortality remains insufficient. This study included a general population of 12,845 individuals with complete data from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2005 to 2018. Mortality data were extracted from the National Death Index up to December 31, 2019. Restricted cubic spline analysis was used to explore the nonlinear association between CMI and mortality. Additionally, stratified analyses, interaction tests, and several sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the results. Over an average follow-up period of 7.7 years, there were 1388 deaths from all causes, including 322 cancer deaths and 413 cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths. Weighted Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed an increasing incidence of all-cause mortality, cancer mortality, and CVD mortality from the lowest to the highest quartiles of CMI, with Log-rank P < .001, Log-rank P = .014, and Log-rank P < .001, respectively. After full adjustment, weighted Cox regression demonstrated a nearly linear increase in CVD mortality with increasing CMI; compared to the referent quartile, the hazard ratios for Quartile 2 were 1.69 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.16-2.46; P = .01), Quartile 3 were 1.69 (95% CI: 1.12-2.55; P = .01), and Quartile 4 were 1.77 (95% CI: 1.16-2.70; P = .01) (P for trend = .04). However, the association between CMI and all-cause mortality as well as cancer mortality was not significant based on COX regression (all P > .05). Restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a significant linear relationship between CMI and CVD mortality (nonlinear P = .051). Interaction analysis confirmed consistent associations between CMI and CVD mortality across all subgroups (all P interaction > .05). Additionally, sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the results mentioned above. CMI demonstrates an almost linear increase in CVD mortality among the general adult population in the United States, while showing no association with all-cause and cancer mortality. This indicates a more direct impact of CMI on heart health and the development of CVD.
目前,尽管一些研究已经探讨了心脏代谢指数(CMI)与死亡率之间的关联,但对于美国成年人群体,关于CMI与全因死亡率和特定病因死亡率之间联系的详细且系统的研究仍然不足。本研究纳入了来自2005年至2018年国家健康与营养检查调查的12,845名拥有完整数据的普通人群。死亡率数据从截至2019年12月31日的国家死亡指数中提取。使用受限立方样条分析来探索CMI与死亡率之间的非线性关联。此外,还进行了分层分析、交互作用检验以及多项敏感性分析,以评估结果的稳健性。在平均7.7年的随访期内,共有1388例全因死亡,包括322例癌症死亡和413例心血管疾病(CVD)死亡。加权Kaplan-Meier生存分析显示,从CMI最低四分位数到最高四分位数,全因死亡率、癌症死亡率和CVD死亡率的发生率均呈上升趋势,对数秩检验P值分别为<0.001、0.014和<0.001。经过全面调整后,加权Cox回归显示,随着CMI升高,CVD死亡率几乎呈线性增加;与参照四分位数相比,四分位数2的风险比为1.69(95%置信区间[CI]:1.16 - 2.46;P = 0.01),四分位数3为1.69(95% CI:1.12 - 2.55;P = 0.01),四分位数4为1.77(95% CI:1.16 - 2.70;P = 0.01)(趋势P值 = 0.04)。然而,基于Cox回归,CMI与全因死亡率以及癌症死亡率之间的关联并不显著(所有P值>0.05)。受限立方样条分析显示CMI与CVD死亡率之间存在显著的线性关系(非线性P值 = 0.051)。交互作用分析证实了在所有亚组中CMI与CVD死亡率之间存在一致的关联(所有P交互作用>0.05)。此外,敏感性分析证实了上述结果的稳健性。在美国普通成年人群体中,CMI显示出CVD死亡率几乎呈线性增加,而与全因死亡率和癌症死亡率无关。这表明CMI对心脏健康和CVD发展有更直接的影响。