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院外心脏骤停(OHCA)的发病率风险会因一周中的日期和节假日而改变吗?韩国的一项全国性病例时间序列研究。

Does the risk of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) incidence change by day of week and holidays? A nationwide case time series study in South Korea.

作者信息

Yun Hyewon, Min Harin, Park Jiwoo, Oh Jieun, Ahn Sojin, Kang Cinoo, Lee Whanhee

机构信息

Graduate School of Data Science, Pusan National University, Busan, Korea (the Republic of).

Department of Information Convergence Engineering, Pusan National University, Yangsan, Korea (the Republic of).

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2025 Jul 30;15(7):e099980. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2025-099980.

DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2025-099980
PMID:40738635
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12314941/
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Several studies suggested that short-term variations in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) might be associated with the day of the week and holidays. However, most existing findings were based on Western countries, outdated data (the 1990s or 2000s) and analytical methods that could not control potential confounders.

DESIGN

Case time-series design.

SETTING

The national OHCA surveillance (a population-level surveillance system operated by the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency) from 2015 to 2019.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 89 164 cardiac-origin OHCA cases.

INTERVENTIONS

Not applicable.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Cardiac-origin OHCA incidents (primary) and fatality of the OHCA incidents (secondary).

RESULTS

We found that Mondays (relative risk (RR): 1.019 with 95% CI: 1.009 to 1.029) and Sunday (RR: 1.015 with 95% CI: 1.005 to 1.025) had the highest risk of OHCA incidence compared with other weekdays. Holidays showed a higher association with increased OHCA risks than non-holidays. Higher RRs were observed on Christmas (RR: 1.096 with 95% CI: 1.063 to 1.129) and Lunar New Year's Day (RR: 1.082 with 95% CI: 1.060 to 1.104) compared with non-holidays. These patterns by the day of the week and holidays were heterogeneous by age, sex and urbanicity level.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides epidemiological evidence of the association of the day of the week and holidays with OHCA incidents in South Korea, using national surveillance data and state-of-the-science statistical methods. Our findings could contribute to the implications for more targeted action plans and public health resource mobilisation against OHCA.

摘要

目的

多项研究表明,院外心脏骤停(OHCA)的短期变化可能与一周中的日期和节假日有关。然而,大多数现有研究结果基于西方国家、过时的数据(20世纪90年代或21世纪初)以及无法控制潜在混杂因素的分析方法。

设计

病例时间序列设计。

背景

2015年至2019年的全国OHCA监测(由韩国疾病控制与预防机构运营的一项人群水平监测系统)。

参与者

总共89164例心源OHCA病例。

干预措施

不适用。

主要和次要结局指标

心源OHCA事件(主要)和OHCA事件的死亡率(次要)。

结果

我们发现,与其他工作日相比,周一(相对风险(RR):1.019,95%置信区间:1.009至1.029)和周日(RR:1.015,95%置信区间:1.005至1.025)的OHCA发病率风险最高。节假日与OHCA风险增加的关联高于非节假日。与非节假日相比,圣诞节(RR:1.096,95%置信区间:1.063至1.129)和农历新年(RR:1.082,95%置信区间:1.060至1.104)的RR更高。按一周中的日期和节假日划分的这些模式在年龄、性别和城市化水平方面存在异质性。

结论

本研究利用国家监测数据和科学的统计方法,提供了韩国一周中的日期和节假日与OHCA事件之间关联的流行病学证据。我们的研究结果可能有助于为针对OHCA的更具针对性的行动计划和公共卫生资源调动提供启示。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d76/12314941/5d8c091d0e89/bmjopen-15-7-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d76/12314941/1c91008e5088/bmjopen-15-7-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d76/12314941/6d2e93207ffe/bmjopen-15-7-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d76/12314941/f5f1ccbb3135/bmjopen-15-7-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d76/12314941/adbc2a911b31/bmjopen-15-7-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d76/12314941/5d8c091d0e89/bmjopen-15-7-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d76/12314941/1c91008e5088/bmjopen-15-7-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d76/12314941/6d2e93207ffe/bmjopen-15-7-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d76/12314941/f5f1ccbb3135/bmjopen-15-7-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d76/12314941/adbc2a911b31/bmjopen-15-7-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5d76/12314941/5d8c091d0e89/bmjopen-15-7-g005.jpg

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