Department of Public Health Science, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States.
Environ Res. 2022 Sep;212(Pt A):113130. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.113130. Epub 2022 Mar 24.
Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a notable public health issue with negative outcomes, such as high mortality and aftereffects. Additionally, the adverse effects of extreme temperatures on health have become more important under climate change; however, few studies have investigated the relationship between temperature and OHCA. In this study, we examined the association between temperature and OHCA and its underlying risk factors. We conducted a two-stage time-series analysis using a Poisson regression model with a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) and meta-analysis, based on a nationwide dataset from South Korea (2008-2018). We found that 17.4% of excess OHCA was attributed to cold, while 0.9% was attributed to heat. Based on central estimates, excess OHCA attributed to cold were more prominent in the population with hypertension comorbidity (31.0%) than the populations with diabetes (24.3%) and heart disease (17.4%). Excess OHCA attributed to heat were larger in the populations with diabetes (2.7%) and heart disease comorbidity (2.7%) than the population with hypertension (1.2%) based on central estimates. Furthermore, the time-varying excess OHCA attributed to cold have decreased over time, and although those of heat did not show a certain pattern during the study period, there was a weak increasing tendency since 2011. In conclusion, we found that OHCAs were associated with temperature, and cold temperatures showed a greater impact than that of hot temperatures. The effects of cold and hot temperatures on OHCA were more evident in the populations with hypertension, diabetes, and heart diseases, compared to the general population. In addition, the impacts of heat on OHCA increased in recent years, while those of cold temperatures decreased. Our results provide scientific evidence for policymakers to mitigate the OHCA burden attributed to temperature.
院外心脏骤停 (OHCA) 是一个具有负面影响的显著公共卫生问题,例如高死亡率和后遗症。此外,在气候变化下,极端温度对健康的不利影响变得更加重要;然而,很少有研究调查温度与 OHCA 之间的关系。在这项研究中,我们研究了温度与 OHCA 及其潜在危险因素之间的关系。我们使用泊松回归模型与分布滞后非线性模型 (DLNM) 进行了两阶段时间序列分析,并基于韩国的全国性数据集(2008-2018 年)进行了荟萃分析。我们发现,17.4%的 OHCA 超额归因于寒冷,而 0.9%归因于炎热。基于中心估计,患有高血压合并症的人群中归因于寒冷的 OHCA 超额(31.0%)比患有糖尿病(24.3%)和心脏病(17.4%)的人群更为突出。基于中心估计,患有糖尿病(2.7%)和心脏病合并症(2.7%)的人群归因于炎热的 OHCA 超额大于患有高血压(1.2%)的人群。此外,随着时间的推移,归因于寒冷的 OHCA 超额呈时间变化,逐渐减少,而归因于炎热的 OHCA 超额在研究期间没有呈现出一定的模式,但自 2011 年以来呈现出微弱的增加趋势。总之,我们发现 OHCA 与温度有关,寒冷温度的影响大于炎热温度。与一般人群相比,寒冷和炎热温度对 OHCA 的影响在患有高血压、糖尿病和心脏病的人群中更为明显。此外,近年来,炎热对 OHCA 的影响增加,而寒冷温度的影响减少。我们的研究结果为决策者提供了科学依据,以减轻温度对 OHCA 负担的影响。