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全球分布的测量结果显示,全球南方的黑碳排放普遍被低估。

Black carbon emissions generally underestimated in the global south as revealed by globally distributed measurements.

作者信息

Ren Yuxuan, Oxford Christopher R, Zhang Dandan, Liu Xuan, Zhu Haihui, Dillner Ann M, White Warren H, Chakrabarty Rajan K, Hasheminassab Sina, Diner David J, Le Roy Emmie J, Kumar Joshin, Viteri Valerie, Song Keyao, Akoshile Clement, Amador-Muñoz Omar, Asfaw Araya, Chang Rachel Ying-Wen, Francis Diana, Gahungu Paterne, Garland Rebecca M, Grutter Michel, Kim Jhoon, Langerman Kristy, Lee Pei-Chen, Lestari Puji, Mayol-Bracero Olga L, Naidoo Mogesh, Nelli Narendra, O'Neill Norm, Park Sang Seo, Salam Abdus, Sarangi Bighnaraj, Schechner Yoav, Schofield Robyn, Tripathi Sachchida N, Windwer Eli, Wu Ming-Tsang, Zhang Qiang, Rudich Yinon, Brauer Michael, Martin Randall V

机构信息

Department of Energy, Environmental & Chemical Engineering, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA.

Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA.

出版信息

Nat Commun. 2025 Jul 31;16(1):7010. doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-62468-5.

Abstract

Characterizing black carbon (BC) on a fine scale globally is essential for understanding its climate and health impacts. However, sparse BC mass measurements in different parts of the world and coarse model resolution have inhibited evaluation of global BC emission inventories. Here, we apply globally distributed BC mass measurements from the Surface Particulate Matter Network (SPARTAN) and complementary measurement networks to evaluate contemporary BC emission inventories. We use a global chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) in its high-performance configuration (GCHP) for high-resolution simulations to relate BC emissions to ambient concentrations for comparison with measurements. Here we find that simulations using the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS) emission inventory exhibit skill (r = 0.73) in representing variability in SPARTAN measurements across primarily developed regions with low BC concentrations but exhibit pronounced discrepancy (r = 0.00019) across high-BC regions in the Global South, underestimating BC by 38%. Alternative inventories (EDGAR, HTAP) yield similar results. These findings motivate renewed attention to the challenging task of characterizing BC emissions from low- and middle-income countries.

摘要

在全球范围内对黑碳(BC)进行精细尺度的特征描述对于理解其气候和健康影响至关重要。然而,全球不同地区黑碳质量测量数据稀少以及模型分辨率粗糙,阻碍了对全球黑碳排放清单的评估。在此,我们应用来自地表颗粒物网络(SPARTAN)的全球分布的黑碳质量测量数据以及补充测量网络来评估当代黑碳排放清单。我们使用高性能配置(GCHP)的全球化学传输模型(GEOS-Chem)进行高分辨率模拟,以将黑碳排放与环境浓度相关联,以便与测量结果进行比较。我们在此发现,使用社区排放数据系统(CEDS)排放清单进行的模拟在代表主要是低黑碳浓度的发达地区SPARTAN测量的变异性方面表现出技巧(r = 0.73),但在全球南方的高黑碳地区存在明显差异(r = 0.00019),低估黑碳38%。其他清单(EDGAR、HTAP)也得出类似结果。这些发现促使人们重新关注表征低收入和中等收入国家黑碳排放这一具有挑战性的任务。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/00e0/12311045/f8577bf73884/41467_2025_62468_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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