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伊朗新冠病毒疫情期间隔离政策的成本效益分析

Cost-benefit analysis of the quarantine policy during the outbreak of the Covid-19 virus in Iran.

作者信息

Tahamipour Zarandi Morteza, Haghbandeh Kimia

机构信息

Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University, Daneshjou Blvd., Tehran, 1983963113, Iran.

出版信息

Health Econ Rev. 2025 Aug 4;15(1):67. doi: 10.1186/s13561-025-00626-7.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The outbreak of COVID-19 posed significant health and economic challenges worldwide, prompting governments to implement various containment measures, including quarantine policies. This study examines the cost-benefit analysis of Iran's quarantine policy during the pandemic, evaluating its economic impact, public health outcomes, and overall effectiveness. The research explores the direct and indirect costs of quarantine, including reduced economic activity, government expenditures, and social consequences, while assessing the benefits in terms of lives saved, healthcare system relief, and long-term economic stability. Findings suggest that while quarantine measures imposed substantial financial burdens, they played a crucial role in controlling the virus's spread and preventing a greater economic and human toll. The study highlights the necessity of balancing public health interventions with economic sustainability, offering insights for future pandemic response strategies.

METHODS

This study has used the cost-benefit analysis method. In the financial evaluation, benefits such as the reduction of fuel costs, gratuitous payments, and the benefit of credits paid to employees have been compared to expenses such as the average cost of corona treatment in the hospital and at home for the population of employees who have contracted the disease. Also, in the economic evaluation, the benefits of reducing electricity costs and food for employees, the willingness of people to pay the government for protective measures, and reducing overtime payments to employees compared to costs such as food for hospitalized employees, paying subsidies to employees and reducing GDP Has been studied.

RESULTS

Application of quarantine is optimal from the view of government employees (financial point of view) with a benefit-cost ratio of 1.98, and the government's point of view (economic point of view) is cost-effective with a benefit-cost ratio of 2.68.

CONCLUSIONS

These results indicate that applying quarantine for employees benefits both the people and the government. Thus, the results of this study can be a guide for policymakers in managing similar disasters or the spread of other strains of the Coronavirus in the future.

摘要

背景

新冠疫情的爆发给全球带来了重大的健康和经济挑战,促使各国政府实施各种防控措施,包括检疫政策。本研究考察了伊朗在疫情期间检疫政策的成本效益分析,评估其经济影响、公共卫生成果及整体有效性。该研究探讨了检疫的直接和间接成本,包括经济活动减少、政府支出及社会后果,同时评估了在挽救生命、缓解医疗系统压力及长期经济稳定方面的益处。研究结果表明,虽然检疫措施带来了巨大的财政负担,但它们在控制病毒传播及防止更大的经济和人员伤亡方面发挥了关键作用。该研究强调了平衡公共卫生干预与经济可持续性的必要性,为未来的疫情应对策略提供了见解。

方法

本研究采用了成本效益分析方法。在财务评估中,将燃料成本降低、无偿支付以及支付给员工的信贷收益等效益与医院和家庭中新冠治疗的平均成本等费用进行了比较,这些费用是针对感染该疾病的员工群体而言的。此外,在经济评估中,研究了员工电力成本和食品成本降低的效益、人们为保护措施向政府支付的意愿以及员工加班费的减少,同时与住院员工的食品成本、向员工支付补贴以及国内生产总值下降等成本进行了比较。

结果

从政府雇员角度(财务角度)来看,实施检疫的效益成本比为1.98,是最优的;从政府角度(经济角度)来看,效益成本比为2.68,具有成本效益。

结论

这些结果表明,对员工实施检疫对民众和政府都有益。因此,本研究结果可为政策制定者在未来管理类似灾难或其他冠状病毒毒株传播时提供指导。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bdc6/12323177/b2c98657c6d4/13561_2025_626_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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